Political neglect of COVID-19 and the public health consequences in Brazil: The high costs of science denial
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Brazil represents a tragic example of how lack of appropriate policies and pandemic denial impact public health. The country of 212 million inhabitants (3% of the world population) recorded around 1/3 of all daily COVID-19 deaths worldwide in late March 2021 [1Ventura D. With F. Reis R. The catastrophic Brazilian response to covid-19 may amount to a crime against humanity.The BMJ Opin. 2021; (April 5Available at:)https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/04/05/the-catastrophic-brazilian-response-to-covid-19-may-amount-to-a-crime-against-humanity/Crossref Scopus (10) Google Scholar]. Brazil's brutal surge in COVID-19 deaths in the first months of 2021 has been climbing steadily, reaching over 4000 fatalities/day in early April, as a consequence of the widespread of the new variants overwhelming hospitals. In spite of the alarming scenario, the federal government is not yet adopting evidence-based and reliable public health measures, such as use of masks and social distancing. Brazil's public health system provides healthcare for 78% of the population. Its free, publicly funded national vaccination program has an excellent track record: 96% of the population is vaccinated against TB, diphtheria, polio and hepatitis [2Domingues C.M.A.S. Maranhão A.G.K. Teixeira A.M. Fantinato F.F.S. Domingues R.A.S. The Brazilian national immunization program: 46 years of achievements and challenges.Cad Saude Publica. 2020; (Oct 26;36Suppl 2(Suppl 2):e00222919)Google Scholar]. However the country is struggling with a slow COVID-19 vaccine rollout, pushing the country's healthcare system to the brink. The lack of federal government leadership is leading state governors to negotiate and purchase COVID-19 vaccines within a consortium of governors, facing several delays and difficulties. Brazil's president, Jair Bolsonaro, first downplayed the thread of COVID-19 and later embraced herd immunity as an effective strategy. The country never adopted a national lockdown, even in hardest hit cities such as Manaus [3Nussbaumer-Streit B. Mayr V. Dobrescu A.L. et al.Quarantine alone or in combination with other public health measures to control COVID-19: a rapid review.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020; (4:CD013574.4.Government of Araraquara. [Lockdown: Araraquara has drop in COVID-19 case numbers])Google Scholar]. Brazil's capital declared a 24-hour lockdown in February 2021, while larger cities such as Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro adopted nightly curfews and nonessential business closures around March 2021. However, after a 10-day lock down adopted by Araraquara, a middle-sized city in Southeast region, COVID-19 cases reduced by 43%.[4In Portuguese, 2021 available at: http://www.araraquara.sp.gov.br/noticias/2021/marco/10/lockdown-araraquara-tem-queda-no-numero-de-casos-e-media-movel-por-covid-19.Google Scholar]. The legacy of Brazil's failed approach to tackle the pandemic has led to soaring COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates, mostly driven by the highly contagious P.1 variant [5Sabino E.C. Buss L.F. Carvalho M.P.S. et al.Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence.Lancet. 2021; 397: 452-455Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (546) Google Scholar]. If Brazil continues to allow SARS-CoV2 to circulate freely, it could create the ideal breeding ground for new and even more deadly variants [6Glatter R.P. 1 Variant, dominant strain in Brazil.Report New York. Forbes. 2021; (available at:)https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertglatter/2021/03/21/p1-variant-dominant-strain-in-brazil-reported-in-new-york/?sh=25818ba91883Google Scholar]. Over 17 million Brazilians live in slums (favelas), highly density areas lacking adequate access to clean water and sanitation, where social distancing is impossible and pre-existing conditions are highly prevalent. However, the population had extremely low access to COVID-19 testing and there has been no intervention to address their increased risks [7FIOCRUZ. [Socio-epidemiological bulletim of COVID-19 in Slums/Favelas]. In Portuguese. 2020. Available at: https://portal.fiocruz.br/documento/boletim-socioepidemiologico-da-covid-19-nas-favelas-ed-1Google Scholar]. Even with cases and deaths skyrocketing, Mr. Bolsonaro considered the lockdown proposals absurd and unnecessary. According to Brazil's president, the population should “recognize that death is inevitability” and Brazilians should stop being “sissies” [8Taylor L. A city in Brazil's Amazon rain forest is a stark warning about COVID to the rest of the world.Sci. Am. 2021; (March 29Available at:)https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-city-in-brazils-amazon-rain-forest-is-a-stark-warning-about-covid-to-the-rest-of-the-world/Google Scholar]. Mr. Bolsonaro even threatened to cut off federal emergency pandemic budget to states adopting partial lockdowns. During the pandemic, President Bolsonaro appointed four health ministers [9BBC News. Covid-19: Brazil to get fourth health minister since pandemic began. 2021 Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-56410626.Google Scholar] - another clear example of the turmoil faced by the country. The first two health ministers were fired due to disagreements with the president about strategies to control the pandemic, including the president's support for anti-malarial drugs as a ‘preventive kit’ to avoid COVID-19 infection and decrees allowing non-essential services to remain open. The third health minister, Mr. Pazuello was an active-duty army general without medical or public health training. Mr. Pazuello followed president Bolsonaro support to amplify the use of anti-malarial drugs, down-played the need of social distancing and failed to respond calls from states running out of oxygen, doing the bare minimum to procure COVID-19 vaccines. In October 2020, Mr. Pazuello announced the purchase of 46 million doses of COVID-19 vaccine produced by Chinese pharmaceutical company Sinovac, but president Bolsonaro rejected the decision. The country's immunization program has been widely criticized for being late and chaotic. More recently, several private companies started offering ‘early COVID treatment’ to their employees including hydroxychloroquine, ivermectin, azithromycin, vitamin D, and vitamin C (among others), referred to as the “COVID-kit”. Many companies are requiring employees to adopt those “prophylactic treatments”, despite evidence of the effectiveness of such drugs and the potential for their misuse to contribute to antimicrobial resistance. Employees who take the “COVID-kit” frequently report a sense of ‘invincibility’ and being ‘immune’, aspects that might influence the adoption of unsafe habits such as inadequate social distancing and inconsistent mask use [10BBC News Brazil. [Coronavirus: at the height of the pandemic, Brazilian companies distribute 'covid kit' to employees] In Portuguese. 2021 Available at: https://www.bbc.com/portuguese/brasil-56571572.Google Scholar]. The burgeoning COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil was an avoidable tragedy. A national task force involving the federal government, states and municipalities is of paramount importance to enhance physical measures and scale-up vaccination to mitigate the impact of COVID-19 in Brazil and mitigate the spread of variants of concern to other countries. MM drafted the original comment and coordinated subsequent edits and revisions. MVV,CMFPS, ABS and SAS participated in drafting the comment and its finalization. All authors have read and approved the final comment. Dr. Monica Malta acknowledges funding from R21 MH119496 (PI) and R01 MH119101 (consultant). Dr. Steffanie Strathdee acknowledges funding from R01 DA049644.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,005 | 0,017 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,014 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».