MétaCan
Menu
← Retour à la cohorte
Enregistrement W4206039186 · doi:10.2106/jbjs.21.01169

Is Cold Weather a Birth Risk Factor for Late Diagnosis and Surgery for Developmental Dysplasia of the Hip or a Predictor of the Actual Cause?

2022· letter· en· W4206039186 sur OpenAlexaffabout
John H. Wedge

Notice bibliographique

RevueJournal of Bone and Joint Surgery · 2022
Typeletter
Langueen
DomaineMedicine
ThématiqueHip disorders and treatments
Établissements canadiensUniversity of Toronto
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésIncidence (geometry)MedicinePopulationDemographyPediatricsEnvironmental health

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Commentary In their article, Lee et al. provide a compelling case for an association between birth in the 3 coldest months of the year in a subtropical climate and the incidence of late diagnosis and surgery, defined as being after 6 months and prior to 5 years of age, for developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH). The seasonal variation in DDH has been known for at least three-quarters of a century1 and was emphasized again recently2, but it has never been as well documented as in this large study based on the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Therefore, the assertion by Lee et al. that the cold weather birth effect has been overlooked in the past is not completely accurate. This database did not contain data for the nonoperative treatment of DDH, such as splinting and bracing, prior to the patient reaching 6 months of age, representing a possible limitation of the conclusions of this study. The authors report 1,296 cases in a population of 2.712 million births over a 12-year period, for an overall prevalence of 0.48 cases per 1,000 population. Of the infants born with DDH, 476 were born in the winter months and 212 were born in the summer months. The annual case incidence fell steadily over the 12 years, which the authors attribute to a national clinical screening program, and they recommend that additional screening be performed at 3 months of age for infants born in the winter months. Also interesting is the probability that educational intervention may have resulted in this steady decline of the incidence of surgically treated DDH over the 12 years of the program. If this seasonal variation can be detected in a subtropical climate, one would predict that the variation would be greater in a temperate or northernmost climate. Indeed, in an indigenous population in northern Saskatchewan3, the prevalence was 7.0 per 1,000 population, partly due to genetic influence and undoubtedly strongly influenced by the universal practice of infant swaddling. There were no breech deliveries in the entire study cohort of the affected population. Of the 125 cases detected in adults in that study, all had been swaddled, and no birth season variation was identified. Thus, the actual responsible factors would appear to be genetic, environmental, and cultural, with seasonal temperature variation being a marker for the need for warm clothing that, if improperly applied, binds the hips in adduction and extension. In the Saskatchewan study, the DDH incidence in first-degree relatives was 15 times the incidence in the general population. This would suggest that the appropriate interventions are obtaining a family history and educating parents at the initial screening visits by emphasizing how vitally important it is to apply warm clothing in such a manner as to promote flexion and abduction of the hips rather than typical swaddling in which the hips are bound in adduction and extension. Lee et al. had a concluding recommendation that an additional hip screening visit at 3 months of age should be implemented for infants born in winter; that could arguably lead to an excessive deployment of resources relative to the magnitude of the problem, the result being arguably a diminishing return on these resources. The additional visit, followed by a likely orthopaedic referral for an ultrasound examination of the hips, to detect an average of 30 to 40 additional cases per year in a country with a population of 23 million would be a larger challenge for lower-resource countries with colder climates despite an even greater seasonal difference in the incidence of surgically treated DDH. Enhanced education of parents about proper application of clothing and blankets to avoid swaddling hips in extension and adduction, with a targeted written reminder when the infant is 3 months of age, would seem to be a more direct and cost-effective approach to mitigate this seasonal effect so convincingly documented by the authors.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,007
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,067
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet
GenreSignal candidat: Commentaire · Signal consensuel: Commentaire
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,019
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,037

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0070,067
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,001
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0030,002
Bibliométrie0,0020,002
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0010,002
Communication savante0,0020,003
Science ouverte0,0050,001
Intégrité de la recherche0,0140,012
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0060,003

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,047
Tête enseignante GPT0,255
Écart entre enseignants0,208 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreCommentaire

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations1
Publié2022
Routes d'admission2
Résumé présentoui

Explorer davantage

Même revueJournal of Bone and Joint Surgery→Même sujetHip disorders and treatments→Travaux en français237 207→