Recent Permafrost Dynamics in a Subarctic Floodplain Associated with Changing Water Levels, Québec, Canada
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
We have reconstructed from tree-rings the dynamics of mineral frost mounds on the floodplain of a subarctic river (Rivière Boniface, northern Québec) likely associated with snow precipitation and temperature changes during the past centuries. Due to their peculiar location in the river bed, we have postulated that the inception and decay of frost mounds (thermokarst ponds) were associated with snow-controlled water levels of the river. The periods of establishment, growth, and mortality of spruce around and in two thermokarst ponds on the shore zone were identified. The oldest tree-ring dates show that permafrost mounds formed during a period of water lowering in the 17th century, likely in a long-enduring sequence of low waters initiated around cal AD 1150 (910 yr BP), which persisted for at least 200 yr until the beginning of the 20th century. Two main periods of spruce mortality were identified, in the late 19th century and early 20th century and in the 1950s–1960s, which corresponded to a rising river level probably due to greater snow precipitation. The patterns of spruce establishment and mortality were strikingly similar in the studied sites. The first spruce to establish were all located along the pond's edges and they were also the first ones to die; most of the youngest spruce established later in the central part of each feature, i.e., in the early to mid-1850s to 1910, and died during the 1950s–1960s. The sequence of events reported here suggests an important lowering of the Rivière Boniface during the first part of the Little Ice Age (end of the 16th century–17th century) which was drier and cold. During the second part of the Little Ice Age (mainly 19th century), greater precipitation occurred and climaxed in the 20th century when climate warmed and the river stage reached its maximum level. Changes in snow precipitation were probably more instrumental than temperature changes in the rise and fall of permafrost landforms because of the snowpack's direct influence on the soil thermal regime and river level during snowmelt.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,028 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».