Construction of a predictive model for radiation proctitis after radiotherapy for female pelvic tumors based on machine learning.
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
OBJECTIVES: Radiation therapy is a main method for female pelvic malignancies, which can cause some adverse reactions, such as radiation proctitis (RP). The incidence of RP is highly positively correlated with radiation dose. There is an urgent need for a scientific method to accurately predict the occurrence of RP to help doctors make clinical decisions. In this study, based on the clinical data of female pelvic tumor patients and dosimetric parameters of radiotherapy, the random forest method was used to screen the hub features related to the occurrence of RP, and then a machine learning algorithm was used to construct a risk prediction model for the occurrence of RP, in order to provide technical support and theoretical basis for the prediction and prevention of RP. METHODS: A total of 100 female patients with pelvic tumors, who received static three-dimensional conformal intensity-modulated radiation therapy in the Department of Radiation Oncology of the Affiliated Hospital of Xiangnan University from January 2019 to December 2020, were retrospectively collected, and their clinically relevant data and radiotherapy planning system data were collected. During radiotherapy and 18 months after radiotherapy, 35 cases developed RP (RP group), and the remaining 65 cases had no RP (non-RP group). The clinical and dosimetric characteristics of patients were ranked by the importance of random forest algorithm, and the independent prognostic characteristics associated with the occurrence of RP were selected for machine learning modeling. A total of 6 machine learning algorithms including support vector machines, random forests, logistic regression, lightweight gradient boosting machines, Gaussian naïve Bayes, and adaptive enhancement were used to build models. The performance of the model was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1 score. Finally, the random forest model was determined as the prediction model, and the calibration curve and decision curve of the prediction model were drawn to evaluate the accuracy and clinical benefit of the model. RESULTS: The parameters for random forest prediction model in the training set were as follow: AUC, 1.000, accuracy, 0.988, sensitivity, 1.000, specificity, 1.000, positive predictive value, 1.000, negative predictive value, 0.981, and F1 score, 1.000. In validation set, AUC was 0.713, accuracy was 0.640, sensitivity was 0.618, specificity was 0.822, positive predictive value was 0.500, negative predictive value was 0.656, and F1 score was 0.440. Random forest showed high predictive performance. Moreover, the Brief of the calibration curve for the prediction model was 0.178, the prediction accuracy was high, and the decision curve showed that the prediction model could benefit clinically. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the clinical and dosimetric parameters for the female pelvic tumor patients, the prediction model of radiation proctitis constructed by random forest algorithm has high predictive ability and strong clinical usability.
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Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».