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Enregistrement W4313429524 · doi:10.1101/2022.12.15.22283423

Trends in diagnostic tests ordered for children: a retrospective analysis of 2 million laboratory test requests in Oxfordshire, UK from 2005 to 2019

2022· preprint· en· W4313429524 sur OpenAlexaff
Elizabeth T Thomas, Diana R. Withrow, Brian Shine, Peter J. Gill, Rafael Perera, Carl Heneghan

Notice bibliographique

RevuemedRxiv · 2022
Typepreprint
Langueen
DomaineHealth Professions
ThématiqueHealthcare cost, quality, practices
Établissements canadiensHospital for Sick ChildrenUniversity of Toronto
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésMedicineConfidence intervalPediatricsBlood testTest (biology)Retrospective cohort studyInternal medicine

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Abstract Summary Diagnostic tests play an essential role in children’s health. Previous work has shown variation in the use of diagnostic tests for adults. However, comparatively little is known about the use of tests in children. We aimed to analyze temporal trends in laboratory testing for children aged 0 to 15 from 2005 to 2019 in Oxfordshire, United Kingdom. Methods For this retrospective analysis, we used data from the Oxfordshire University Hospital NHS Trust laboratories. Using joinpoint regression models, we estimated annual percentage changes (APC) in test use. Temporal changes in age-adjusted rates in test use were calculated overall and stratified by healthcare setting, sex and age. Findings Between 2005 and 2019, overall test use increased in children (APC 1.6%, 95 confidence interval -0.8% to 4.1%). Increases were highest in females, in those aged 11-15 years and the outpatient setting. The most frequently requested tests were full blood count, urea and electrolytes, liver function test, C-reactive protein and calcium magnesium phosphate. The test with the greatest increase in use was Vitamin D, which increased on average by 27% per year. Other tests that showed a significant temporal increase included parathyroid hormone, iron studies, folate, vitamin B12 levels, glucose, HbA1c, IgA, coeliac, creatine kinase, thyroid function tests and IgG/IgM. Test changes were not uniformly distributed across all settings and age groups. Interpretation The increase in test use may be the result of a combination of factors, including changes to the health service resulting in an increased volume of presentations and referrals, shifts in workforce composition towards less experienced clinicians, increased parental anxiety and expectation of tests and/or increased awareness and changing prevalence of disease. Further research is needed to quantify whether test use is warranted and to compare trends in Oxfordshire with other settings. Funding No funding was obtained for this study. Research in context Evidence before this study We searched PubMed using the terms “diagnostic test” “child” and “variation” from inception until 7 November 2022 to identify studies related to diagnostic test use in children. Previous studies have demonstrated substantial variation in the use of diagnostic tests across primary and secondary care in the UK. However, most of the literature on diagnostic testing focused on adults. Population-based studies of UK primary care identified that test use had increased by 9% annually from 2000 to 2015. Tests with the highest increase were knee MRIs which increased by 69% per year, followed by vitamin D tests and brain MRI. Tests subject to the greatest practice variation included drug monitoring, urine microalbumin and pelvic CTs. However, these studies did not specifically analyse data on test use in children. A few studies on children examined variation in the use of tests for specific conditions, such as community-acquired pneumonia, orbital cellulitis, fever or diabetes. No studies have quantified test use across all settings or examined temporal trends in test use in children. Added value of this study To our knowledge, this is the first population-based study to estimate long-term trends in childhood test use. We collected data on laboratory tests that were analysed at the Oxfordshire University Hospital NHS Trust laboratories for children aged below 16 between 2005 and 2019 and evaluated average annual percentage change and annual percentage change in test use using joinpoint regression. We found that test use increased by 2% per year overall, with the highest increases in the outpatient setting and for females aged 11-15. Vitamin D tests experienced the greatest overall increase during the study period. Implications of all the available evidence Changes in test use may suggest potentially inappropriate testing, especially for Vitamin D and C reactive protein. It also suggests an increase in disease awareness and prevalence as well as changes in the healthcare workforce and service provision. A comparison between testing rates and the corresponding test results must be made to better understand whether increased test use is warranted. The observed trends in this study should also be compared with other settings to determine their generalisability. We encourage clinicians to become aware of their test-ordering practices and consider the individual and systemic implications of testing in children.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,002
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Observationnel · Signal consensuel: Observationnel
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: Empirique
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,147
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,293

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0020,008
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0000,001
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0010,001
Bibliométrie0,0030,006
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0000,001
Communication savante0,0010,001
Science ouverte0,0010,001
Intégrité de la recherche0,0010,001
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0030,001

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,195
Tête enseignante GPT0,486
Écart entre enseignants0,291 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeObservationnel
Domainenon disponible
GenreEmpirique

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations0
Publié2022
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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