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Enregistrement W4383457116 · doi:10.1097/01.eem.0000946648.56133.a7

Risk Aversion Trumps Risk Tolerance

2023· article· en· W4383457116 sur OpenAlexaboutno aff
Charles A. Pilcher

Notice bibliographique

RevueEmergency Medicine News · 2023
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineSocial Sciences
ThématiqueLaw, Rights, and Freedoms
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésLawsuitMedicineChest painFeelingPlaintiffAspirinFamily medicineMedical emergencyInternal medicinePsychologySocial psychologyLaw

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

It's better for EPs to be cautious and wrong than optimistic and rightFigureFigureA male adult in a rural community said he felt bad and was experiencing chest pain after breakfast. The feeling recurred after a spicy lunch, so he went to see his doctor that afternoon. He was given four chewable baby aspirin and a GI cocktail during that visit, and he experienced “mild relief.” He was diagnosed with “unspecified chest pain,” given a prescription for hydrocodone and omeprazole, and told to return in one week and do “physical activity to tolerance.” He was sent as an apparent precaution to a small local hospital for outpatient lab work, a chest x-ray, and an ECG. The lab called the doctor to tell him that the patient's troponin level was borderline at 0.4. The doctor called the patient at home, and his son said he was in the shower. The doctor called a second time about an hour later. The son went to check on his father and found him unresponsive in the shower. He was unable to be revived by EMS. The family filed a lawsuit. The Plaintiff's Case The family said the patient reported that he had chest pain and that the doctor knew the cause could be cardiac because he gave him aspirin and ordered an ECG, chest x-ray, and cardiac enzymes. The lawsuit said the doctor should have given him nitroglycerin, called EMS to his office, and sent him to a higher level of care immediately. Instead, the doctor relied on the patient's slight improvement from a GI cocktail and hoped that the tests he ordered would prove him right. The family said a GI cocktail was useless in this case, and that the doctor delayed having his son check on him when he called the first time. The doctor, the suit said, assumed he was having a simple problem, not one that could kill him, and that that was careless. The Verdict The case was reviewed by cardiology and emergency medicine experts. All were supportive of the plaintiff's claims, and the case settled pretrial for an undisclosed amount. Takeaways Never rely on a GI cocktail to influence decision-making. If ever used, a simple antacid is equally effective. Chest pain that is benign should never require an opioid. There are times when risk tolerance is acceptable, such as when using the Ottawa Ankle Rules or the Canadian C-Spine Rule to avoid imaging. When the choices are benign or potentially life-threatening, always rule out the latter before assuming the former. It's better to be cautious and wrong than to be optimistic and right. We become too risk-tolerant over time if we're repeatedly optimistic and right and too risk-averse over time if we're repeatedly optimistic and wrong. Find the happy medium. This case was not even close to that. References: Ann Emerg Med. 2005;46[6]:525. The Sullivan Group Blog. January 2017; https://bit.ly/431lXSZ. DR. PILCHER is a retired emergency physician and the former medical director of the ED at EvergreenHealth and Evergreen Medic One in Kirkland, WA. He has reviewed hundreds of medical malpractice cases for plaintiff and defense attorneys throughout his career, and is also the editor of Medical Malpractice Insights-Learning from Lawsuits (https://bit.ly/MedMalInsights), a monthly newsletter focused primarily on diagnostic errors in the ED. Send stories you would like him to review to [email protected]. Share this article on Twitter and Facebook. Access the links in EMN by reading this on our website: www.EM-News.com. Comments? Write to us at [email protected].

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,018
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,050
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Théorique ou conceptuel · Signal consensuel: Théorique ou conceptuel
GenreSignal candidat: Commentaire · Signal consensuel: aucune
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,018
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,097

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0180,050
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,001
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0010,001
Bibliométrie0,0020,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0030,027
Communication savante0,0120,009
Science ouverte0,0010,009
Intégrité de la recherche0,0040,013
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0140,002

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,034
Tête enseignante GPT0,325
Écart entre enseignants0,291 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeThéorique ou conceptuel
Domainenon disponible
GenreCommentaire

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations0
Publié2023
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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