A Patient Similarity Network (CHDmap) to Predict Outcomes After Congenital Heart Surgery: Development and Validation Study
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Background: Although evidence-based medicine proposes personalized care that considers the best evidence, it still fails to address personal treatment in many real clinical scenarios where the complexity of the situation makes none of the available evidence applicable. "Medicine-based evidence" (MBE), in which big data and machine learning techniques are embraced to derive treatment responses from appropriately matched patients in real-world clinical practice, was proposed. However, many challenges remain in translating this conceptual framework into practice. Objective: This study aimed to technically translate the MBE conceptual framework into practice and evaluate its performance in providing general decision support services for outcomes after congenital heart disease (CHD) surgery. Methods: Data from 4774 CHD surgeries were collected. A total of 66 indicators and all diagnoses were extracted from each echocardiographic report using natural language processing technology. Combined with some basic clinical and surgical information, the distances between each patient were measured by a series of calculation formulas. Inspired by structure-mapping theory, the fusion of distances between different dimensions can be modulated by clinical experts. In addition to supporting direct analogical reasoning, a machine learning model can be constructed based on similar patients to provide personalized prediction. A user-operable patient similarity network (PSN) of CHD called CHDmap was proposed and developed to provide general decision support services based on the MBE approach. Results: Using 256 CHD cases, CHDmap was evaluated on 2 different types of postoperative prognostic prediction tasks: a binary classification task to predict postoperative complications and a multiple classification task to predict mechanical ventilation duration. A simple poll of the k-most similar patients provided by the PSN can achieve better prediction results than the average performance of 3 clinicians. Constructing logistic regression models for prediction using similar patients obtained from the PSN can further improve the performance of the 2 tasks (best area under the receiver operating characteristic curve=0.810 and 0.926, respectively). With the support of CHDmap, clinicians substantially improved their predictive capabilities. Conclusions: Without individual optimization, CHDmap demonstrates competitive performance compared to clinical experts. In addition, CHDmap has the advantage of enabling clinicians to use their superior cognitive abilities in conjunction with it to make decisions that are sometimes even superior to those made using artificial intelligence models. The MBE approach can be embraced in clinical practice, and its full potential can be realized.
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Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».