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Enregistrement W4392628832 · doi:10.26868/25222708.2023.1394

Development of a surrogate model for interactive early-stage net-zero building design

2023· article· en· W4392628832 sur OpenAlex

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affAu moins un auteur déclare une institution canadienne dans l'instantané OpenAlex épinglé.
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Notice bibliographique

RevueBuilding Simulation Conference proceedings · 2023
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineEngineering
ThématiqueBuilding Energy and Comfort Optimization
Établissements canadiensUniversity of Victoria
Organismes subventionnairesNatural Resources CanadaNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaCanarie
Mots-clésComputer scienceSurrogate modelHyperparameterBuilding designMachine learningLeverage (statistics)Artificial neural networkEfficient energy useArtificial intelligenceZero-energy buildingIndustrial engineeringSimulationSystems engineeringEngineeringArchitectural engineering

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

The Net-Zero Navigator is a collaborative effort to leverage surrogate modeling for use in an opensource, online early stage building energy modeling and decision-making tool, formed among industry, academic and government stakeholders in Canada. The surrogate modelling underpinning Net Zero Navigator leverages machine learning techniques to train statistical meta-models based on BPS input and output data, emulating high-fidelity building simulation and providing an engine for rapid design performance estimates. The platform is built on a foundation of existing tools (EnergyPlus, TensorFlow, KERAS API) as well as the codebase of the Building and Energy Simulation, Optimization and Surrogate-modelling (BESOS) platform. Overall, the Net-Zero Navigator platform supports fast, interactive concept-stage building design, at a stage where decisions have a proportionally greater impact on downstream performance, and where flexibility and speed are important. To further disseminate the knowledge gained through development of Net Zero Navigator, this study dissects the architecture and hyperparameters that define the artificial neural networks, demonstrating importance for specific aspects of the building energy estimation through an experimental procedure aligned with hyperparameter optimization methods found in machine learning best practice. This methodology involves hundreds of thousands of EnergyPlus simulation runs and equivalent numbers of neural network configurations.High-performance building design requires rapid iteration involving many highly integrated decisions, with diminishing potential for impact as the design process progresses. Existing high-fidelity simulation approaches have limited ability to deliver fast, integrated design iterations, which can compromise the ability to achieve net-zero energy in new buildings.In most cases, these tools rely on generating direct representations of the building explicitly, using detail-oriented, physics-based modelling engines. This limits the computational speed and flexibility, as well as the ability to explore the complex problem space effectively. Attempts to simplify the model input process in these tools may also contribute to errors where the underlying engine cannot adaptively and automatically account for complex interactions that can result.Further research has shown that machine learning methods are an area of study with potential to connect the needs during early concept design and planning with a viable toolset for use by practitioners and researchers. Specifically, surrogate methods have been shown to produce robust, reliable building energy analysis results while greatly reducing computational time and input complexity by the user. However, there is trade-off potential between absolute accuracy and flexibility, breadth and speed of design space exploration that must also be examined.As a nascent field of study, surrogate modelling in the buildings domain faces many challenges, including loss of interpretability and amplification of errors due to poorly framed problems. However, as a new addition to building design toolset, with novel advantages and potential for development, surrogate modelling can be used to supplement traditional analytical and high-fidelity techniques. The Net Zero Navigator project was developed to help resolve these limitations.The results of this study highlight some of the computational benefits, the scale of modeling uncertainty introduced, and the relationships between energy model complexity and surrogate model configuration. Furthermore, this study provides a basis to discuss the benefits of Net Zero Navigator and surrogate modeling for building energy simulation, leveraging the multi-disciplinary development efforts to suggest best practice and promising directions for future work.

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Prédiction distillée sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,000
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesMéta-épidémiologie (sens strict)
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Simulation ou modélisation · Signal consensuel: Simulation ou modélisation
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: aucune
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,358
Score d'incertitude au seuil1,000

Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0000,000
Bibliométrie0,0000,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0000,000
Communication savante0,0000,001
Science ouverte0,0000,000
Intégrité de la recherche0,0000,000
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0000,000

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,066
Tête enseignante GPT0,292
Écart entre enseignants0,226 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle