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Enregistrement W4401869996 · doi:10.1175/2024bamsstateoftheclimate_intro.1

Introduction

2024· article· en· W4401869996 sur OpenAlexaffabout
Tim Boyer, J. Blunden, Robert Dunn, Melanie Ades, Robert E. Adler, Susheel Adusumilli, William Agyakwah, Somayeh Ahmadpour, Laura S. Aldeco, Michael A. Alexander, Mihai Alexe, Eric J. Alfaro, Richard P. Allan, Adam Allgood, Lincoln Muniz Alves, Jorge A. Amador, Dillon J. Amaya, Charles Amory, John Anderson, Bianca Ott Andrade, Liss M. Andreassen, Orlane Anneville, Yasuyuki Aono, Anthony Argüez, Dolores Armenteras Pascual, Carlo Arosio, Elizabeth Asher, John Augustine, Grinia Ávalos, César Azorín-Molina, Oscar M. Baez‐Villanueva, Rebecca Baiman, Thomas J. Ballinger, Alison F. Banwell, M. Yu. Bardin, Jonathan Barichivich, Sandra Barreira, Rebecca L. Beadling, Marc Beauchemin, Hylke E. Beck, Emily Becker, B. D. Beckley, E. Bekele, Nicolas Bellouin, Angela Benedetti, Christine Berne, Logan T. Berner, G. Bernhard, Uma S. Bhatt, Siiri Bigalke, Peter Bissolli, Jarle W. Bjerke, Eric S. Blake, Josh Blannin, Stephen Blenkinsop, Oliver Bochníček, Olivier Bock, Xavier Bodín, Olivier Bonte, Michael G. Bosilovich, Olivier Boucher, Jason E. Box, Deniz Bozkurt, Brian Brettschneider, Francis Bringas, Mike Brubaker, Stefan A. Buehler, Brandon Bukunt, David Burgess, Amy H. Butler, Michael P. Byrne, Blanca Calderón, Suzana J. Camargo, Jayaka Campbell, Diego Campos, Fabrizio Cappucci, Laura Carrea, Brendan R. Carter, Randall S. Cerveny, Ivona Cetinić, D. P. Chambers, Duo Chan, Elise Chandler, Kai‐Lan Chang, Candice S. Charlton, Jack Chen, Lin Chen, Lijing Cheng, Vincent Y. S. Cheng, L. Chisholm, Hanne H. Christiansen, John R. Christy, Eui‐Seok Chung, Laura M. Ciasto, Leonardo A. Clarke, Kyle R. Clem, Scott Clingan, Caio A. S. Coelho, Melanie Coldewey‐Egbers, Steve Colwell, Owen R. Cooper, Richard Cornes, Kris Correa, Felipe Costa, Curt Covey, Lawrence Coy, Jean‐François Crétaux, Theresa M. Crimmins, Molly Crotwell, Joshua Culpepper, Ana Paula Martins do Amaral Cunha, Diego Cusicanqui, Rajashree Tri Datta, Sean Davis, Richard de Jeu, Jos de Laat, Pranab Deb, Bertrand Decharme, D. A. Degenstein, Reynald Delaloye, Chris Derksen, Howard J. Diamond, Elizabeth DiGangi, Shiva Dindyal, Dmitry Divine, Martin T. Dokulil, Markus G. Donat, Shenfu Dong, Wouter Dorigo, Caroline Drost Jensen, Matthew L. Druckenmiller, Marcel du Plessis, Diane Duchemin, Hilary A. Dugan, Dashkhuu Dulamsuren, Imke Durre, G. S. Dutton, Grégory Duveiller, Craig Earl‐Spurr, Paola Echeverría Garcés, Mithat Ekici, Alesksandra Elias Chereque, Shane Elipot, M. ElKharrim, Howard E. Epstein, Jhan Carlo Espinoza, Thomas W. Estilow, Nicole Estrella, S. L. Farrell, Nicolas Fauchereau, Robert S. Fausto, Richard A. Feely, Chris Fenimore, David Fereday, Denise Fernández, Xavier Fettweis, Vitali Fioletov, Johannes Flemming, Caitlyn Florentine, Chris Fogarty, Ryan L. Fogt, Bruce C. Forbes, Michael J. Foster, Bryan A. Franz, Thomas Frederikse, H. A. Fricker, S. M. Frith, L. Froidevaux, Gerald V. Frost, Shanshan Fu, Yao Fu, Martin Füllekrug, Catherine Ganter, Meng Gao, Judith Garforth, Jay Garg, Sebastian Gerland, Artur Gevorgyan, Donata Giglio, Sarah T. Gille, John Gilson, Karin Gleason, Nadine Gobron, Sophie Godin‐Beekmann, Marlos Góes, Stanley B. Goldenberg, Julio Gómez Camacho, Yolanda González Hernández, Steven M. Goodman, Atsushi Goto, Garrett Graham, Alice M. Grimm, Jens‐Uwe Grooß, Alexander Gruber, Guojun Gu, Mauro Guglielmin, Sebastian Hahn, Leopold Haimberger, S. Hakmi, B. D. Hall, B. D. Hamlington, Edward Hanna, Inger Hanssen‐Bauer, Merritt E. Harlan, Daniel S. Harnos, Ian Harris, Qiong He, Máret J. Heatta, Richard R. Heim, Deborah Hemming, Stefan Hendricks, Jessica Hicks, Hugo G. Hidalgo, Martin Hirschi, Shu‐peng Ho, Will Hobbs, R. H. Holzworth, Radley Horton, Filip Hrbáček, Guojie Hu, Zeng‐Zhen Hu, Boyin Huang, Hongjie Huang, D. F. Hurst, Iolanda Ialongo, Antje Inness, Ketil Isaksen, Masayoshi Ishii, Michael G. Jacox, Gerardo Jadra, Piyush Jain, Annika Jersild, Jelmer Jeuring, Svetlana Jevrejeva, Gensuo Jia, Viju O. John, William E. Johns, Bjørn Johnsen, B. J. Johnson, Gregory C. Johnson, P. D. Jones, Simon A. Josey, Guillaume Jumaux, Robert Junod, Andreas Kääb, K. Kabidi, Johannes W. Kaiser, Lars Kaleschke, Viktor Kaufmann, Amin Fazl Kazemi, Linda M. Keller, Andreas Kellerer‐Pirklbauer, Michael Kendon, John Kennedy, Yelena Khalatyan, V. M. Khan, Sergey Khaykin, Mai Van Khiem, Richard Kidd, Rachel Killick, Seong‐Joong Kim, Tyler V. King, Zak Kipling, Megan C. Kirchmeier‐Young, Philip J. Klotzbach, John A. Knaff, Jack Kohler, Akash Koppa, Natalia N. Korshunova, Benjamin M. Kraemer, N. A. Kramarova, Jessica Kromer, Andries Kruger, Arun Kumar, Mikael Kuusela, R. Sofia La Fuente, Alo Laas, Zachary M. Labe, Rick Lader, Leslie R. Lait, Mónika Lakatos, Kaisa Lakkala, Hoang Phuc Lam, Xin Lan, Peter Landschützer, Chris Landsea, Kathleen Lantz, Jeff Lapierre, Mark J. Lara, Waldo Lavado‐Casimiro, David A. Lavers, Matthew A. Lazzara, Thierry Leblanc, Simon H. Lee, Tsz-cheung Lee, Eric M. Leibensperger, Chris Lennard, E. W. Leuliette, Michelle L’Heureux, JL Lieser, Ben Liley, I.‐I. Lin, Chao Liu, Yakun Liu, Y. T. Eunice Lo, Ricardo Locarnini, Norman G. Loeb, Bryant Loomis, Hosmay Lopez, Andrew M. Lorrey, Diego Loyola, Susan M. Lozier, Rui Lü, Bartłomiej Luks, Rick Lumpkin, Jing‐Jia Luo, Kari Luojus, John M. Lyman, Matthew J. Macander, Michael MacFerrin, Graeme M. MacGilchrist, Michelle Maclennan, Andrew D. Magee, Florence Magnin, Rúna Í. Magnússon, Jostein Mamen, Kenneth D. Mankoff, G. L. Manney, José Marengo, Marjan Mohammadi, Andreas Marouchos, Rodney Martínez, Robert A. Massom, Shin‐ichiro S. Matsuzaki, Tom Matthews, Michael Mayer, Chris McBride, Michael McCarthy, Clive R. McMahon, Tim R. McVicar, Carl A. Mears, Brooke Medley, Walter N. Meier, Ademe Mekonnen, Annette Menzel, Christopher J. Merchant, Leo‐Juhani Meriö, M. A. Merrifield, Michael F. Meyer, Tristan Meyers, David E. Mikolajczyk, J. B. Miller, Caitlin Minney, Diego G. Miralles, Alexey Mishonov, Gary T. Mitchum, Ben Moat, Aurel Moise, Jorge Molina‐Carpio, Paul Montesano, Stephan A. Montzka, Twila Moon, Natali Mora, Colin Morice, Isamu Morino, A. E. Mostafa, Thomas L. Mote, Ivan Mrekaj, Lawrence Mudryk, Robi Muharsyah, Jens Mühle, Rolf Müller, David Nance, C. S. R. Neigh, R. S. Nerem, Paul A. Newman, Julien P. Nicolas, Jeannette Noetzli, Ben Noll, Taylor Norton, Kelsey E. Nyland, John O’Keefe, Mitsuho Oe, Yuka Okunaka, Alexander Orlik, Timothy J. Osborn, James E. Overland, Finnur Pálsson, Mark Parrington, Richard J. Pasch, Reynaldo Pascual Ramírez, Linda Paterson, Cécile Pellet, Mauri Pelto, Renellys C. Perez, Donald K. Perovich, Kyle Petersen, Irina Petropavlovskikh, Alek Petty, Alexandre Bernardes Pezza, Luciano Ponzi Pezzi, Coda Phillips, Gareth K. Phoenix, Donald C. Pierson, Izidine Pinto, Ivenis Pita, M. C. Pitts, Stephen Po–Chedley, Paolo Pogliotti, Kristin Poinar, Lorenzo M. Polvani, Amos Porat, Wolfgang Preimesberger, Colin Price, Sarah G. Purkey, Willy R. Quispe, Andrea M. Ramos, William J. Randel, Marilyn Raphael, Colin Raymond, J. O. REAGAN, Phillip Reid, Samuel Rémy, Hans Ressl, Lucrezia Ricciardulli, Andrew D. Richardson, Robert Ricker, Patricia P. Rivera, David A. Robinson, M. Robjhon, Matthew Rodell, Estéban Rodríguez Guisado, Nemesio Rodríguez-Fernández, Maarit Roebeling, Cassandra D. W. Rogers, P. Rohini, V. E. Romanovsky, Josyane Ronchail, Matthew Rosencrans, Karen H. Rosenlof, Benjamin Rösner, Alexei Rozanov, Jozef Rozkošný, Оlga O. Rusanovskaya, This Rutishauser, C. T. Sabeerali, R. Said, Tetsu Sakai, Roberto Salinas, Ahira Sánchez-Lugo, M. L. Santee, Louis Sass, Kanako Sato, P. Sawaengphokhai, A. Sayouri, Johan H. Scheller, Verena Schenzinger, Robert W. Schlegel, Claudia Schmid, Martin Schmid, Carl J. Schreck, Cristina Schulz, Zewdu Segele, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Serhat Şensoy, Ji-In Seong, Julieta Serna Cuenca, Mark C. Serreze, Fumi Sezaki, Xi Shao, Sapna Sharma, Jia‐Rui Shi, Lei Shi, N. I. Shiklomanov, Svetlana V. Shimaraeva, Ryuichiro Shinohara, Roopam Shukla, Eugene A. Silow, A. J. Simmons, David Smeed, Adam Smith, B. E. Smith, Ryan H. Smith, Sharon L. Smith, Brian J. Soden, Viktoria Sofieva, Logan Soldo, Everaldo Barreiros de Souza, Jacqueline Spence-Hemmings, Sandra Spillane, O. P. Sreejith, A. K. Srivastava, Jr.Paul W. Stackhouse, Sharon Stammerjohn, Ryan M. Stauffer, Wolfgang Steinbrecht, Andrea K. Steiner, José Luis Stella, Tannecia S. Stephenson, Laura A. Stevens, Paul C. Stoy, Pietro Stradiotti, D. A. Streletskiy, Thea Sukianto, Tove Svendby, William Sweet, Ghassan Taha, Kiyotoshi Takahashi, Kazuto Takemura, Michael A. Taylor, Marco Tedesco, Stephen J. Thackeray, Wassila M. Thiaw, Emmanuel Thibert, Sandy Thomalla, Richard Thoman, Philip R. Thompson, Laura Thomson, Þorsteinn Thorsteinsson, Xiangshan Tian-Kunze, Mary‐Louise Timmermans, Maxim Timofeyev, Hans Tømmervik, Kleareti Tourpali, Katja Trachte, Blair Trewin, Joaquín Triñanes, S.C. Tripathy, Emma Tronquo, Adrian Trotman, Ryan E. Truchelut, Luke D. Trusel, Katherine Turner, Mari R. Tye, John Uehling, Ronald van der A, Roderick van der Linden, Robin van der Schalie, Gerard van der Schrier, Cédric J. Van Meerbeeck, A.J.H. van Vliet, Ahad Vazife, Piet Verburg, Jean‐Paul Vernier, Isaac Vimont, R. Virasami, Katrina S. Virts, Sebastián Vivero, Denis L. Volkov, Holger Vömel, Russell S. Vose, Christine F. Waigl, Donald A. Walker, John E. Walsh, Bin Wang, Hui Wang, Muyin Wang, Ray H. J. Wang, Rik Wanninkhof, Taran Warnock, Mark Weber, Melinda Webster, Adrian Wehrlé, Robert A. Weller, Toby K. Westberry, Matthew J. Widlansky, D. N. Wiese, Jeannette Wild, Kate M. Willett, Earle Williams, J. K. Willis, G. J. Wolken, Takmeng Wong, Kimberly M. Wood, R. Iestyn Woolway, Bert Wouters, Francis T. Wu, Dedi Yang, Xungang Yin, Ziqi Yin, Lisan Yu, Zhenzhong Zeng, Huai‐Min Zhang, Peiqun Zhang, Lin Zhao, Feng Zhong, Zhiwei Zhu, Jerry R. Ziemke, Markus Ziese, Ruxandra-Maria Zotta, Cheng‐Zhi Zou

Notice bibliographique

RevueBulletin of the American Meteorological Society · 2024
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineEarth and Planetary Sciences
ThématiqueCryospheric studies and observations
Établissements canadiensQueen's UniversityUniversity of TorontoNatural Resources CanadaUniversity of SaskatchewanYork UniversityGeological Survey of CanadaEnvironment and Climate Change Canada
Organismes subventionnairesNational Centers for Environmental Information
Mots-clésEnvironmental scienceGreenhouse gasAtmosphere (unit)Carbon dioxideClimate changeChinaClimatologyGlobal warmingGeographyPhysical geographyOceanographyMeteorologyGeologyChemistryArchaeology

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Abstract —J. Blunden and T. Boyer In 2023, La Niña conditions that generally prevailed in the eastern Pacific Ocean from mid-2020 into early 2023 gave way to a strong El Niño by October. Atmospheric concentrations of Earth’s major greenhouse gases—carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide—all increased to record-high levels. The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere rose to 419.3±0.1 ppm, which is 50% greater than the pre-industrial level. The growth from 2022 to 2023 was 2.8 ppm, the fourth highest in the record since the 1960s. The combined short-term effects of El Niño and the long-term effects of increasing levels of heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere contributed to new records for many essential climate variables reported here. The annual global temperature across land and oceans was the highest in records dating as far back as 1850, with the last seven months (June–December) having each been record warm. Over land, the globally averaged temperature was also record high. Dozens of countries reported record or near-record warmth for the year, including China and continental Europe as a whole (warmest on record), India and Russia (second warmest), and Canada (third warmest). Intense and widespread heatwaves were reported around the world. In Vietnam, an all-time national maximum temperature record of 44.2°C was observed at Tuong Duong on 7 May, surpassing the previous record of 43.4°C at Huong Khe on 20 April 2019. In Brazil, the air temperature reached 44.8°C in Araçuaí in Minas Gerais on 20 November, potentially a new national record and 12.8°C above normal. The effect of rising temperatures was apparent in the cryosphere, where snow cover extent by June 2023 was the smallest in the 56-year record for North America and seventh smallest for the Northern Hemisphere overall. Heatwaves contributed to the greatest average mass balance loss for Alpine glaciers around the world since the start of the record in 1970. Due to rapid volume loss beginning in 2021, St. Anna Glacier in Switzerland and Ice Worm Glacier in the United States disappeared completely. In August, as a direct result of glacial thinning over the past 20 years, a glacial lake on a tributary of the Mendenhall Glacier in Alaska burst through its ice dam and caused unprecedented flooding on Mendenhall River near Juneau. Across the Arctic, the annual surface air temperature was the fourth highest in the 124-year record, and summer (July–September) was record warm. Smaller-than-normal snow cover extent in May and June contributed to the third-highest average peak tundra greenness in the 24-year record. In September, Arctic minimum sea ice extent was the fifth smallest in the 45-year satellite record. The 17 lowest September extents have all occurred in the last 17 years. In Antarctica, temperatures for much of the year were up to 6°C above average over the Weddell Sea and along coastal Dronning Maud Land. The Antarctic Peninsula also experienced well-above-average temperatures during the 2022/23 melt season, which contributed to its fourth consecutive summer of above-average surface melt. On 21 February, Antarctic sea ice extent and sea ice area both reached all-time lows, surpassing records set just a year earlier. Over the course of the year, new daily record-low sea ice extents were set on 278 days. In some instances, these daily records were set by a large margin, for example, the extent on 6 July was 1.8 million km 2 lower than the previous record low for that day. Across the global oceans, the annual sea surface temperature was the highest in the 170-year record, far surpassing the previous record of 2016 by 0.13°C. Daily and monthly records were set from March onward, including an historic-high daily global mean sea surface temperature of 18.99°C recorded on 22 August. Approximately 94% of the ocean surface experienced at least one marine heatwave in 2023, while 27% experienced at least one cold spell. Globally averaged ocean heat content from the surface to 2000-m depth was record high in 2023, increasing at a rate equivalent to ∼0.7 Watts per square meter of energy applied over Earth’s surface. Global mean sea level was also record high for the 12th consecutive year, reaching 101.4 mm above the 1993 average when satellite measurements began, an increase of 8.1±1.5 mm over 2022 and the third highest year-over-year increase in the record. A total of 82 named tropical storms were observed during the Northern and Southern Hemispheres’ storm seasons, below the 1991–2020 average of 87. Hurricane Otis became the strongest landfalling hurricane on record for the west coast of Mexico at 140 kt (72 m s −1 ), causing at least 52 fatalities and $12–16 billion U.S. dollars in damage. Freddy became the world’s longest-lived tropical cyclones on record, developing into a tropical cyclone on 6 February and finally dissipating on 12 March. Freddy crossed the full width of the Indian Ocean and made one landfall in Madagascar and two in Mozambique. In the Mediterranean Sea—outside of traditional tropical cyclone basins—heavy rains and flooding from Storm Daniel killed more than 4300 people and left more than 8000 missing in Libya. The record-warm temperatures in 2023 created conditions that helped intensify the hydrological cycle. Measurements of total-column water vapor in the atmosphere were the highest on record, while the fraction of cloud area in the sky was the lowest since records began in 1980. The annual global mean precipitation total over land surfaces for 2023 was among the lowest since 1979, but global one-day maximum totals were close to average, indicating an increase in rainfall intensity. In July, record-high areas of land across the globe (7.9%) experienced extreme drought, breaking the previous record of 6.2% in July 2022. Overall, 29.7% of land experienced moderate or worse categories of drought during the year, also a record. Mexico reported its driest (and hottest) year since the start of its record in 1950. In alignment with hot and prolonged dry conditions, Canada experienced its worst national wildfire season on record. Approximately 15 million hectares burned across the country, which was more than double the previous record from 1989. Smoke from the fires were transported far into the United States and even to western European countries. August to October 2023 was the driest three-month period in Australia in the 104-year record. Millions of hectares of bushfires burned for weeks in the Northern Territory. In South America, extreme drought developed in the latter half of the year through the Amazon basin. By the end of October, the Rio Negro at Manaus, a major tributary of the Amazon River, fell to its lowest water level since records began in 1902. The transition from La Niña to El Niño helped bring relief to the prolonged drought conditions in equatorial eastern Africa. However, El Niño along with positive Indian Ocean dipole conditions also contributed to excessive rainfall that resulted in devastating floods over southeastern Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya during October to December that displaced around 1.5 million people. On 5 September, the town of Zagora, Greece, broke a national record for highest daily rainfall (754 mm in 21 hours, after which the station ceased reporting) due to Storm Daniel; this one-day accumulation was close to Zagora’s normal annual total.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,001
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesCharge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)
Catégories consensuellesCharge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet
GenreSignal candidat: Autre · Signal consensuel: Autre
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,449
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,640

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0010,003
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0010,001
Bibliométrie0,0010,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0020,001
Communication savante0,0050,003
Science ouverte0,0020,004
Intégrité de la recherche0,0020,002
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,5510,423

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,013
Tête enseignante GPT0,215
Écart entre enseignants0,202 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; l’étiquette directe de Gemma et le classifieur distillé Codex s’accordent sur ce qui est montré ici.

Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreAutre

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations0
Publié2024
Routes d'admission2
Résumé présentoui

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Même revueBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyMême sujetCryospheric studies and observationsTravaux en français237 207