EBF1 is a potential biomarker for predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease: an in silico study
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Introduction The prediction of progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD) is an important clinical challenge. This study aimed to identify the independent risk factors and develop a nomogram model that can predict progression from MCI to AD. Methods Data of 141 patients with MCI were obtained from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database. We set a follow-up time of 72 months and defined patients as stable MCI (sMCI) or progressive MCI (pMCI) according to whether or not the progression of MCI to AD occurred. We identified and screened independent risk factors by utilizing weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA), where we obtained 14,893 genes after data preprocessing and selected the soft threshold β = 7 at an R2 of 0.85 to achieve a scale-free network. A total of 14 modules were discovered, with the midnightblue module having a strong association with the prognosis of MCI. Using machine learning strategies, which included the least absolute selection and shrinkage operator and support vector machine-recursive feature elimination; and the Cox proportional-hazards model, which included univariate and multivariable analyses, we identified and screened independent risk factors. Subsequently, we developed a nomogram model for predicting the progression from MCI to AD. The performance of our nomogram was evaluated by the C-index, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Bioinformatics analysis and immune infiltration analysis were conducted to clarify the function of early B cell factor 1 (EBF1). Results First, the results showed that 40 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) related to the prognosis of MCI were generated by weighted gene co-expression network analysis. Second, five hub variables were obtained through the abovementioned machine learning strategies. Third, a low Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) score [hazard ratio (HR): 4.258, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.994–9.091] and low EBF1 expression (hazard ratio: 3.454, 95% confidence interval: 1.813–6.579) were identified as the independent risk factors through the Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis. Finally, we developed a nomogram model including the MoCA score, EBF1, and potential confounders (age and gender). By evaluating our nomogram model and validating it in both internal and external validation sets, we demonstrated that our nomogram model exhibits excellent predictive performance. Through the Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment analysis, Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes Genomes (KEGG) functional enrichment analysis, and immune infiltration analysis, we found that the role of EBF1 in MCI was closely related to B cells. Conclusion EBF1, as a B cell-specific transcription factor, may be a key target for predicting progression from MCI to AD. Our nomogram model was able to provide personalized risk factors for the progression from MCI to AD after evaluation and validation.
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Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,002 | 0,003 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».