Developing a Multisensor-Based Machine Learning Technology (Aidar Decompensation Index) for Real-Time Automated Detection of Post–COVID-19 Condition: Protocol for an Observational Study
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
BACKGROUND: Post-COVID-19 condition is emerging as a new epidemic, characterized by the persistence of COVID-19 symptoms beyond 3 months, and is anticipated to substantially alter the lives of millions of people globally. Patients with severe episodes of COVID-19 are significantly more likely to be hospitalized in the following months. The pathophysiological mechanisms for delayed complications are still poorly understood, with a dissociation seen between ongoing symptoms and objective measures of cardiopulmonary health. COVID-19 is anticipated to alter the long-term trajectory of many chronic cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases, which are common among those at risk of severe disease. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to use a single, integrated device-MouthLab, which measures 10 vital health parameters in 60 seconds-and a cloud-based proprietary analytics engine to develop and validate the Aidar Decompensation Index (AIDI), to predict decompensation in health among patients who previously had severe COVID-19. METHODS: Overall, 200 participants will be enrolled. Inclusion criteria are patients in the US Department of Veterans Affairs health care system; "severe" COVID-19 infection during the acute phase, defined as requiring hospitalization, within 3-6 months before enrollment; aged ≥18 years; and having 1 of 6 prespecified chronic conditions. All participants will be instructed to use the MouthLab device to capture daily physiological data and complete monthly symptom surveys. Structured data collection tables will be developed to extract the clinical characteristics of those who experience decompensation events (DEs). The performance of the AIDI will depend on the magnitude of difference in physiological signals between those experiencing DEs and those who do not, as well as the time until a DE (ie, the closer to the event, the easier the prediction). Information about demographics, symptoms (Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale and Post-COVID-19 Functional Status Scale), comorbidities, and other clinical characteristics will be tagged and added to the biomarker data. The resultant predicted probability of decompensation will be translated into the AIDI, where there will be a linear relationship between the risk score and the AIDI. To improve prediction accuracy, data may be stratified based on biological sex, race, ethnicity, or underlying clinical characteristics into subgroups to determine if there are differences in performance and detection lead times. Using appropriate algorithmic techniques, the study expects the model to have a sensitivity of >80% and a positive predicted value of >70%. RESULTS: Recruitment began in January 2023, and at the time of manuscript submission, 204 patients have been enrolled. Publication of the complete results and data from the study is expected in 2025. CONCLUSIONS: The focus on identifying predictor variables using a combination of biosensor-derived physiological features should enable the capture of heterogeneous characteristics of complications related to post-COVID-19 condition across diverse populations. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05220306; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05220306.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,024 | 0,023 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,002 | 0,001 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,002 | 0,003 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,003 | 0,002 |
| Communication savante | 0,002 | 0,002 |
| Science ouverte | 0,002 | 0,002 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,002 | 0,003 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,027 | 0,007 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».