Quantifying random variability in decision-making in pediatric cardiac surgery
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Objective: Random variability in day-to-day decision-making referred to as "noise" is associated with variation that negatively affects both the reproducibility and quality of decision-making. Although well described in other fields, the prevalence and significance of noise in medical decision-making are understudied and largely unknown. The goal of this study was to quantify noise in medical decision-making using a noise audit. Methods: A noise audit was completed by 71 (n = 71) Heart Centre staff at the Hospital for Sick Children and Seattle Children's Hospital and involved a series of cases and questions surrounding decisions commonly encountered in the care for patients with transposition of the great arteries and critical aortic stenosis. Entropy was used to quantify total variation in responses. Because absolute entropy was not immediately comparable across audit questions with a different number of prespecified options, we reported a standardized version of entropy, which was calculated by dividing the absolute entropy by its theoretical maximum for each case. To compare responses in easy to hard questions across years of experience (<10 years and >10 years) and role, we reported aggregate entropy ratios. Aggregate entropy ratios were calculated by first stratifying by group of comparison and then calculating the standardized entropy for each question and taking the average of standardized entropies for easy questions and hard questions. Finally, to determine the ratio (easy to hard), we divided the average standardized entropy of the easy questions by the average standardized entropy of the hard questions. Results: The overall audit aggregate entropy ratio was 0.85 less than 1, indicating lower-complexity questions had less variation than higher-complexity questions. The aggregate entropy ratio for those with more than 10 years of experience was 0.8 and 0.87, respectively, for those with less than 10 years of experience. The aggregate entropy ratios for those in cardiac critical care, cardiology, and cardiovascular surgery were 0.85, 0.83, and 0.96, respectively. Conclusions: Noise was pervasive in medical decision-making in the analysis of our responses to common medical decisions made for patients with congenital heart disease and can be quantified in a manner that facilitates comparisons.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,008 | 0,014 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,002 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,001 | 0,002 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».