Special issue to celebrate the 90th birthday of Professor David Wilkie
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
This special issue celebrates the research career of David Wilkie, widely recognized as one of the world's foremost actuaries.It follows a call for papers running from January to November 2024, which was timed to coincide with a Conference in Celebration of David Wilkie's 90th birthday ("Wilkiefest'') on 11th April 2024 at the Guildhall in York.Four papers presented at the conference are published in this special issue, along with three further papers in areas where the work of David Wilkie has had a substantial influence.David's interest in actuarial research continues to the present day and this editorial is followed by a personal contribution from David in which he describes some of the areas that have interested him and some of the problems and open issues he would like to see addressed in future.Before turning to David's contributions to actuarial science and the connections between his work and the papers selected for this special issue, we look back briefly at David's remarkable life and career.Short biography (Alasdair) David Wilkie was born on the 22nd March 1934 in Didsbury, Manchester, to two Scottish GPs and brought up in Glasgow and Lancaster.He received a scholarship to Rugby School, where he excelled at Mathematics and Greek, and where he first became aware of the actuarial profession through his mathematics master.In December 1950, aged 16, he won an exhibition to Trinity College, Cambridge, and spent a pre-university year working at the Scottish Widows Fund in Edinburgh, where he first became an actuarial student.At Cambridge, he studied Mathematics, Economics, and English, and learned to fly small planes in the University Air Squadron, which led to two years of National Service in the RAF in 1955-57, in which he got his "wings" training on Vampire jet fighters.From 1957 to 1985, David worked as an actuary in life insurance.This phase of his career saw positions at Scottish Widows, where he qualified as both FFA and FIA, Swiss Reinsurance in Zurich, and Standard Life in Edinburgh, where he remained for 23 years.His early adoption of computer programing, beginning with a Ferranti Pegasus vacuum-tube computer, underpinned much of his research output during that time.A 57-year association with the Continuous Mortality Investigation (CMI) had started in 1964, and David quickly realized that computers could revolutionize the production of graduated mortality tables.In the 1970s, he brought his computational skills to the production of new indices tracking the performance of British government securities, which continue to this day as the FTSE-Actuaries BGS indices.His best-known
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,002 | 0,008 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,002 | 0,001 |
| Communication savante | 0,005 | 0,002 |
| Science ouverte | 0,002 | 0,003 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,006 | 0,007 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,164 | 0,120 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».