Integrating Remote Sensing and Machine Learning to Assess Forest Health and Susceptibility to Pest-induced Damage
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana; SBW) outbreaks are cyclically occurring phenomena in the northeastern USA and neighboring Canadian provinces. These outbreaks are often of landscape level causing impaired growth and mortality of the host species namely spruce (Picea sp.) and balsam fir (Abies balsamea (L.) Mill.). Acknowledging the recent SBW outbreak in Canadian provinces like Quebec and New Brunswick neighboring the state of Maine, our study devised comprehensive techniques to assess the susceptibility of Maine forests to SBW attack. This study aims to harness the power of remote sensing data and machine learning algorithms to model and map the susceptibility of forest in terms of host species availability and abundance (basal area per hectare; BAPH, and leaf area index; LAI), their maturity and the defense mechanism prevalent. In terms of host species abundance mapping our study explores the integration of satellite remote sensing data to model BAPH and LAI of two economically vital SBW host species, red spruce (Picea rubens Sarg.) and balsam fir, in Maine USA. Combining Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR), Sentinel-2 multispectral, and site variables, we used Random Forest (RF) and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) algorithms for modeling LAI and BAPH. The results demonstrated the superiority of RF over MLP, achieving smaller normalized root mean square error (nRMSE) by 0.01 and 0.06 for LAI and BAPH, respectively. Notably, Sentinel-2 variables, especially the red-edge spectral vegetation indices, played a significant role in both LAI and BAPH estimation, with the minor inclusion of site variables, particularly elevation. In addition, using various satellite remote sensing data such as Sentinel-1 C-band SAR, PALSAR L-band SAR and Sentinel-2 multispectral, along with site variables, the study developed large-scale SBW stand impact types and susceptibility maps for the entire state of Maine. The susceptibility of the forest was assessed based on the availability of SBW host species and their maturity. Integrating machine-learning algorithms, RF and MLP, the best model, utilizing site (elevation and aspect) and Sentinel-2 data achieved an overall accuracy of 83.4% to predict SBW host species. Furthermore, combining the host species data with age data from Land Change Monitoring, Assessment, and Projection (LCMAP) products we could produce the SBW susceptibility map based on stand impact types with an overall accuracy of 88.3%. Moreover, the work builds upon the assessment of susceptibility of SBW host species taking into account the concentration of several canopy traits using remote sensing and site data. The study focused on various foliar traits affecting insect herbivory, including nutritive such as nitrogen (N), phosphorous (P), potassium (K), and copper (Cu), non-nutritive such as iron (Fe) and calcium (Ca), and defensive parameters such as equivalent water thickness (EWT) and leaf mass per area (LMA). Using Sentinel-2 and site data, we developed trait estimation models using machine-learning algorithms like Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). The accuracy of the developed model was evaluated based on the normalized root mean square error (nRMSE). Based on the model performances, we selected XGB algorithm to estimate Ca, EWT, Fe, and K whereas Cu, LMA, N, and P were estimated using RF algorithm. Regarding the variables used, almost all the best performing models included Sentinel-2 red-edge indices and depth to water table (DWT) as the most important variables. Ultimately, the study proposed a novel framework connecting the concentrations of foliar traits in SBW host foliage to tree susceptibility to the pest, enabling the assessment of host susceptibility on a landscape level. To sum up, this study highlights the advantages and effectiveness of integrating satellite remote sensing data for enhanced pest management, providing valuable insights into tree attributes and susceptibility to spruce budworm outbreaks in Northeast USA. The findings offer essential tools for forest stakeholders to improve management strategies and mitigate potential forthcoming SBW outbreaks in the region.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,002 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».