PERFORMANCE OF MIXED EXPONENTIAL AND EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION REPRESENTING RAIN CELL INTENSITY IN NEYMANSCOTT RECTANGULAR PULSE (NSRP) MODEL
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Sub-daily timescale data such as hourly data are needed for modeling urban systems. However such series are not readily available as compared to daily rainfall series. Stochastic rainfall models are useful in estimating input for design work. One of the models that applies the clustered point process theory is the Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulses (NSRP) model. The model uses a flexible model fitting procedure which involves matching approximately a chosen set of historical statistics which exceeds in number of set of parameters to be estimated. An optimization technique called Shuffle Complex Evolution (SCE-UA) was used to estimate the parameters. The performance of NSRP model was evaluated using 10 years hourly data taken from a station in Wilayah Persekutuan. Two distributions, namely exponential (EXP) and mixed exponential (MEXP) were used to model the cell intensities in the model. The models were evaluated on a monthly basis regarding their ability to preserve the statistical properties as well as the physical properties of the rainfall time-series over timescales of 1 h, 6 h and 24 h. The performance of the models with the two different distributions was evaluated and compared. The model with the mixed exponential (MEXP) distribution perform better in preserving most of the statistical and physical properties of the observed data
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".