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Record W1502129036

Exact Asymptotic Goodness-of-Fit Testing For Discrete Circular Data, With Applications

2012· preprint· en· W1502129036 on OpenAlexaff
David E. A. Giles

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2012
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicBenford’s Law and Fraud Detection
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Victoria
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMultinomial distributionQuantileMathematicsTest statisticGoodness of fitEmpirical distribution functionNull (SQL)Binomial distributionApplied mathematicsStatisticNegative binomial distributionNull hypothesisBinomial (polynomial)Null distributionBeta-binomial distributionStatisticsDistribution (mathematics)Asymptotic distributionStatistical hypothesis testingPoisson distributionComputer scienceMathematical analysis
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

We show that the full asymptotic null distribution for Watson’s data, can be computed simply and exactly by standard methods. Previous approximate quantiles for the uniform multinomial case are found to be accurate. More extensive quantiles are presented for this distribution, as well as for the beta-binomial distribution and for the distributions associated 2 with “Benford’s Laws”. A simulation experiment compares the power of the modified U N test with that of Kuiper’s VN test. In addition, four illustrative empirical applications are provided. In addition, 2 four illustrative empirical applications are provided to illustrate the usefulness of the U N test.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.866
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.166
GPT teacher head0.384
Teacher spread0.219 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designOther design
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueRePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsSame topicBenford’s Law and Fraud DetectionFrench-language works237,207