Transport of forest fire smoke above the tropopause by supercell convection
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A recent letter [ Fromm et al., 2000 ] postulated a link between boreal forest fire smoke and observed stratospheric aerosol enhancements in 1998. Therein a case was made that severe convection played a role in the cross‐tropopause transport. A similar occurrence of stratospheric aerosol enhancements in the boreal summer of 2001 was the stimulus to investigate the causal mechanism more deeply. Herein, we show a detailed case illustrating the unambiguous creation of a widespread, dense smoke cloud in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UT/LS) by a Canadian forest fire and explosive convection in May 2001. This event is the apparent common point for several downstream stratospheric mystery cloud observations. Implications of this finding and those pertaining to the boreal summer of 1998 are that convection and boreal biomass burning have an under‐resolved and under‐appreciated impact on the upper troposphere, lower stratosphere, radiative transfer, and atmospheric chemistry.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".