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Record W1509654974 · doi:10.1002/9780470057339.vnn135

Climate Change Scenarios for Impacts Assessment

2012· other· en· W1509654974 on OpenAlex
Francis W. Zwiers, Gerd Bürger

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueEncyclopedia of Environmetrics · 2012
Typeother
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicClimate variability and models
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Victoria
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDownscalingClimate changeEnvironmental scienceClimate modelGreenhouse gasTransient climate simulationScale (ratio)Environmental resource managementImpact assessmentClimatologyComputer scienceGeographyCartographyEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract The study of the impacts of potential future climate change and evaluation of actions that might be used to reduce those impacts requires the development of plausible scenarios of future climate change and variability. Projections of future climate change are produced by climate modeling centers using physically based climate system models that are driven with scenarios of future greenhouse gas emissions. While climate models have been increasing in complexity and resolution, the climate projections that they produce generally still require postprocessing to correct biases and to further refine resolution so that the output can be used to inform local and regional impacts assessments, and to drive impacts models, such as crop models or fine‐scale surface hydrology models. This article briefly describes several of the “statistical downscaling” techniques that are used for this postprocessing.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.378
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0200.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.029
GPT teacher head0.278
Teacher spread0.249 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it