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Record W1509654974 · doi:10.1002/9780470057339.vnn135

Climate Change Scenarios for Impacts Assessment

2012· other· en· W1509654974 on OpenAlexaff
Francis W. Zwiers, Gerd Bürger

Bibliographic record

VenueEncyclopedia of Environmetrics · 2012
Typeother
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicClimate variability and models
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Victoria
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDownscalingClimate changeEnvironmental scienceClimate modelGreenhouse gasTransient climate simulationScale (ratio)Environmental resource managementImpact assessmentClimatologyComputer scienceGeographyCartographyEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract The study of the impacts of potential future climate change and evaluation of actions that might be used to reduce those impacts requires the development of plausible scenarios of future climate change and variability. Projections of future climate change are produced by climate modeling centers using physically based climate system models that are driven with scenarios of future greenhouse gas emissions. While climate models have been increasing in complexity and resolution, the climate projections that they produce generally still require postprocessing to correct biases and to further refine resolution so that the output can be used to inform local and regional impacts assessments, and to drive impacts models, such as crop models or fine‐scale surface hydrology models. This article briefly describes several of the “statistical downscaling” techniques that are used for this postprocessing.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.184
Threshold uncertainty score0.614

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0050.008
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0040.003
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.1840.033

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.029
GPT teacher head0.278
Teacher spread0.249 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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