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Record W1513220970

Export Industry Growing Vigorously, Energy Price Increases Weighing on Economic Activity. Business Cycle Report of March 2011

2011· article· en· W1513220970 on OpenAlex
Markus Marterbauer

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueAustrian Economic Quarterly · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal trade and economics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRecessionEconomicsQuarter (Canadian coin)Global recessionBusiness cycleInflation (cosmology)Investment (military)Economic recoveryPaceConsumption (sociology)Private consumptionAgricultural economicsMonetary economicsMacroeconomics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In the fourth quarter, real GDP expanded by 0.8 percent compared with the previous quarter and by 2.7 percent compared with a year before. Over the whole of 2010, the economy grew by 2 percent. Exports and manufacturing remain the key drivers of the economic recovery. Equipment investment is also slowly beginning to pick up; the construction industry, by contrast, remains in recession. Private consumption rose also during the 2008-09 recession and was thus an important stabilising factor for the economy; it now continues to grow at a modest pace. The recovery in the labour market is also continuing. The number of unemployed persons has fallen by 31, 000 from its peak, thus offsetting half of the increase triggered by the recession. The increase in world market prices for commodities (oil, agricultural goods, metals) is already feeding through noticeably into consumer prices: In January, inflation reached 2.4 percent.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.476
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.002
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.056
GPT teacher head0.219
Teacher spread0.163 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it