Export Industry Growing Vigorously, Energy Price Increases Weighing on Economic Activity. Business Cycle Report of March 2011
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In the fourth quarter, real GDP expanded by 0.8 percent compared with the previous quarter and by 2.7 percent compared with a year before. Over the whole of 2010, the economy grew by 2 percent. Exports and manufacturing remain the key drivers of the economic recovery. Equipment investment is also slowly beginning to pick up; the construction industry, by contrast, remains in recession. Private consumption rose also during the 2008-09 recession and was thus an important stabilising factor for the economy; it now continues to grow at a modest pace. The recovery in the labour market is also continuing. The number of unemployed persons has fallen by 31, 000 from its peak, thus offsetting half of the increase triggered by the recession. The increase in world market prices for commodities (oil, agricultural goods, metals) is already feeding through noticeably into consumer prices: In January, inflation reached 2.4 percent.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.024 | 0.017 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".