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Record W1517686810

Cyclical Recovery Continuing

2006· article· en· W1517686810 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Markus Marterbauer, Sandra Steindl

Bibliographic record

VenueAustrian Economic Quarterly · 2006
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGerman Economic Analysis & Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsInvestment (military)Quarter (Canadian coin)Business cycleEconomic slowdownEconomicsCapital (architecture)Capital investmentLabour economicsMonetary economicsBusinessMarket economyFinanceMacroeconomics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The results of the WIFO business cycle survey show that sentiment in the manufacturing and construction sectors has brightened markedly in the first quarter of 2006. Production output and export figures are displaying a modest up-ward tendency. But there is no indication yet of a rebound in investment activity, despite favourable framework conditions. This becomes apparent by the decline in imports of capital goods and a slowdown of wholesale trade. Investment intentions have improved, however, according to the WIFO investment survey. Business continues to be subdued for those sectors of the economy that are largely dependent upon private consumer demand. On their latest reading, retail sales were around 1.5 percent higher in volume year-on-year, car sales were markedly lower. Un-favourable labour market conditions are a major factor restraining consumers in their decision to buy a new car. The number of persons employed is indeed rising significantly, but the increase continues to be limited principally to part-time jobs. The number of unemployed persons reached a new peak in January.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.016
Threshold uncertainty score0.051

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0150.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.196
Teacher spread0.185 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2006
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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