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Record W1534592813 · doi:10.1002/9781119514312

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

2018· book· en· W1534592813 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueWiley series in probability and statistics · 2018
Typebook
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSeries (stratigraphy)Nonlinear systemTime seriesComputer scienceMathematicsStatisticsGeologyPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The recent development of nonlinear time series analysis is primarily due to the efforts to overcome the limitations of linear models such as autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models of Box and Jenkins (1976) in real applications. Two examples of such limitations are the non-ability to model sudden outbursts and the restriction to symmetry in the sense of reversible processes, whereas many processes observed in reality reveal irreversibility, well-known examples being the sunspot numbers and the Canadian Lynx data, see Tong (1990) for a discussion of these data sets with respect to nonlinearity and irreversibility. The increasing popularity of nonlinear time series models is also attributed to the development of nonlinear and nonparametric regression techniques which provides many useful tools. Advanced computational power and easy-to-use advanced softwares and graphics such as S-Plus(Venables and Ripley (1994)) and XploRe(Hardle, Klinke and Turlach (1995)) contribute to the increasing application of nonlinear time series analysis.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.447
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.208
Teacher spread0.190 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it