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Record W1535580254 · doi:10.7202/600518ar

Essai sur l’évolution démographique du Québec de 1534 à 2034

2008· article· fr· W1535580254 on OpenAlexaffvenueabout
Hubert Charbonneau

Bibliographic record

VenueCahiers québécois de démographie · 2008
Typearticle
Languagefr
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCanadian Identity and History
Canadian institutionsUniversité de Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPolitical scienceHumanitiesArt

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Personne n’a encore évalué les composantes de l’accroissement de la population totale du Québec depuis Jacques Cartier. Le caractère original de ce périlleux exercice consiste principalement à intégrer les effectifs autochtones. En dépit des nombreuses hypothèses et approximations, les résultats portant sur 450 ans ne s’éloignent sans doute pas beaucoup de la réalité. Quelque 15 millions et demi de personnes ont vécu au Québec depuis 1534. Parmi elles, quatre sur cinq sont nées sur place. L’incertitude apparaît beaucoup plus grande à l’échelle de chaque demi-siècle, surtout avant 1884. L’évaluation de l’immigration reste fort délicate, y compris pour les périodes les plus récentes. De 1934 à 1984 seulement, les immigrants, tout comme les émigrants d’ailleurs, surpassent en nombre la population totale de 1884. De tels aperçus statistiques font ressortir le caractère relatif des principaux faits de notre histoire démographique.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.044
Threshold uncertainty score0.319

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0050.010
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.194
Teacher spread0.185 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2008
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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