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Record W1542371130

The Confidence Trap: A History of Democracy in Crisis from World War I to the Present

2014· article· en· W1542371130 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Howard A. Doughty

Bibliographic record

Venue˜The œinnovation journal · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicPolitical Economy and Marxism
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEnlightenmentPoliticsDemocracyOppressionHumanityLawSociologyHistoryEconomic historyPolitical sciencePhilosophyTheology
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

David Runciman The Confidence Trap: A History of Democracy in Crisis from World War I to Present Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2013If there is a single political topic that has been subject of more intellectual and popular discussion, of more private and public concern and, on occasion, a greater cause of hope or despair over past few centuries, I'd be interested in hearing what it is. Ever since European Enlightenment (dates uncertain but probably not earlier than mid- seventeenth century nor much later than late eighteenth century), purveyors of optimism and promoters of progress have insisted that humanity, despite our seemingly universal tendency to engage in unpleasantness of racism, caste and class oppression and misogyny and so on, is not only capable of improvement, but destined for it.The Enlightenment by which, in European case, is not meant a kind of vaguely metaphysical awakening to spiritual meaning of universe, but rather a rational, practical, scientific and increasingly technological approach to life. It was a revolutionary transformation not only of thought in Great Britain, European continent and its several settler colonies in North America and elsewhere, but also of elsewhere as imperialism brought all alleged benefits of European society to what those self- same Europeans condescendingly called natives, savages or, in Kipling's charming phrase breeds without law who lived beyond pale, never mind that Kipling was actually talking about Germans (Orwell, 1946) and that the pale referred to limits of assured English control in Ireland in fourteenth century.The promise of Enlightenment was, at least in retrospect, was almost irresistible: science and technology portended an end to communicable disease and an increase in efficient communication and transportation; industrial development implied an end to poverty, initially at home and eventually abroad; market economy was touted as vehicle through which economic equity and affordable products could be made available to any competent citizen willing to adopt an ethic of hard work and deferred gratification (an attitude ascribed to Protestants above all); mass and, eventually, universal education would dispel ignorance and superstition; and, finally, gradual democratization would ensure elimination of tyranny and ensure political constitutions increasingly committed to rule of law, judicial due process, representative and responsible government with right to vote eventually extended to all citizens. It was an impressive agenda.We are all, of course, aware of roots of democracy in ancient Athens. We seldom recall, however, that it was a relatively short-lived experiment and few of us acknowledge that among its most visceral opponents was legendary philosopher, Socrates. Nonetheless, we seem willing to connect democratic Athens (in which not much more than 5% of population actually had right to participate, since women and slaves were not invited to general assembly) to English parish meetings, New England town meetings, a few Swiss cantons and ultimately to electronic voting in Internet-besotted North America today. We neglect to remind ourselves that now common right to vote was recently deeply feared by aristocracies, passionately desired by an emergent bourgeoisie and a distant hope for women and working class who, in their dreams, may have thought that being a majority of population might one day work to provide governments more interested in assisting than in oppressing them.David Runciman's book, The Confidence Trap, tells modern story of how democracy was won and how it (just barely) prevailed not just over lesser angels of demos or the mob to whom democratic institutions seemed to entrust final decision making, but also (by an even thinner margin) over great totalitarian movements of twentieth century headed by leaders as diverse as Benito Mussolini, Josef Stalin, Adolph Hitler, Mao Zedong and such lesser luminaries as Francisco Franco in Spain, Antonio Salazar in Portugal and any number of Latin American dictators-to name just a few. …

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.015
Threshold uncertainty score0.076

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0080.021
Scholarly communication0.0090.008
Open science0.0010.007
Research integrity0.0030.012
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.032
GPT teacher head0.292
Teacher spread0.260 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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