Estimation of uncertainty intervals in the identification of electromechanical modes from ambiente data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper discusses the estimation of uncertainty intervals associated with the electromechanical modes identified from ambient data resulting from random load switching throughout th day in power systems. A connection between the second order statistical properties, including confidence intervals, of the identified electromechanical modes and the variance of the parameters of a selected linear model is demostrated. The results of the presented method are compared with respect to the ones obtained from a Monte-Carlo type of simulation, showing its effectiveness in reducing the number of trials, which would be beneficial for on-line power system monitoring, as it can decrease the number of samples, thus ensuring that the system dynamics would not change significantly over the monitoring time window, and yielding more dependable results. The 2-area benchmark system, with different orders of the system identification model used (ARMA), is utilized to demostrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".