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Record W1546821616

Global Warming: A Critique of the Anthropogenic Model and its Consequences

2011· article· en· W1546821616 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Norman R. Paterson

Bibliographic record

VenueGeoscience Canada · 2011
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicAtmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGlobal warmingMandateClimate changeGreenhouse gasGreenhouse effectScientific consensusNatural resource economicsEnvironmental scienceClimatologyPolitical scienceEconomicsEcologyLaw
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

According to popular belief, recent global warming has been caused largely by greenhouse gases, primarily CO2, accruing in the atmosphere, and man is responsible for most of the ~120 ppm increase in CO2 over the last 100 years. This article cites a number of recent peer-reviewed scientific papers, and finds that contrary arguments by a growing body of scientists are generally supported by better empirical data than those that favour the ‘anthropogenic warming’ hypothesis. These arguments invoke the effects of solar irradiance and ocean–atmosphere interactions, both of which have been shown to have warming effects at least as great as those claimed for CO2, and to be based on sound, well-understood scientific theory. Furthermore, the global warming models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and others have in some cases been shown to be incorrect and contrary to current temperature statistics. For these and other reasons, the CO2-driven, anthropogenic warming hypothesis is regarded by many as suspect and lacking in empirical evidence. The difficulty of refuting this popular hypothesis is exacerbated by the IPCC’s United Nations mandate to advise governments on the severity of man-made global warming, a mandate that they have followed faithfully, encouraging the emergence of a large body of funded research that supports their view. This presents a problem for global society, as the human-caused warming scenario diverts attention from other, at least equally serious environmental impacts of our industrial society. Recently, however, there appears to be a tilting of public opinion away from global warming alarmism, which may fundamentally affect the direction of the climate change debate. Sommaire Selon la croyance populaire, le rechauffement climatique actuel aurait ete cause en grande partie par des gaz a effet de serre, principalement le CO2 s’accumulant dans l'atmosphere et, c’est l'homme qui serait a l’origine de l’augmentation de ~ 120 ppm de la teneur en CO2 au cours du dernier siecle. Dans le present article on cite un certain nombre d’articles scientifiques a comite de lecture, et on conclut que des arguments contraires presentes par un nombre croissant de scientifiques, sont generalement soutenus par de meilleures donnees empiriques que celles qui favorisent l’hypothese d’un « rechauffement anthropogenique ». A partir d’une theorie scientifique bien fondee, ces arguments montrent que les effets du rayonnement solaire et des interactions ocean-atmosphere ont un effet climatique de rechauffement au moins aussi important que celui impute au CO2. En outre, il a ete demontre que les modeles de rechauffement de la planete utilises par le Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur les changements climatiques (GIEC) et d'autres sont, dans certains cas averes errones et en contradiction avec les statistiques actuelles sur la temperature. Pour ces raisons et d'autres, nombreux sont ceux qui considerent que l’hypothese d’un rechauffement climatique anthropogenique par le CO2 est sujette a caution et manque de preuves empiriques. A noter qu’il est d’autant plus difficile de refuter cette hypothese populaire que l’Organisation des Nations Unies a confie au GIEC le mandat de conseiller les gouvernements sur la gravite du rechauffement climatique anthropogenique, mandat dont il s’acquitte avec application, ce qui favorise l'emergence d'un important volume de recherches financees, qui tendent a confirmer leur point de vue. Cela pose un probleme pour l’humanite entiere, en ce que le scenario d’un rechauffement climatique anthropogenique detourne l'attention d’autres problemes de notre societe industriel qui ont des repercussions au moins aussi graves sur l'environnement. Recemment, cependant, il semble y avoir un basculement de l'opinion publique qui tend a remettre en question l'alarmisme ambiant sur le rechauffement climatique planetaire, ce qui pourrait affecter fondamentalement le sens du debat sur le changement climatique.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.177
Threshold uncertainty score0.517

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.206
Teacher spread0.193 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2011
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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