MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W1548610590

Nasser's Gamble: How Intervention in Yemen Caused the Six-Day War and the Decline of Egyptian Power

2014· article· en· W1548610590 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Asher Orkaby

Bibliographic record

VenueArab studies journal · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicMiddle East and Rwanda Conflicts
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSpanish Civil WarPoliticsMemoirNationalismAncient historyPower (physics)Middle EastIdeologyForeign policyHistoryGreat powerEconomic historyPolitical scienceLaw
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

NASSER'S GAMBLE: HOW INTERVENTION IN YEMEN CAUSED THE SIX-DAY WAR AND THE DECLINE OF EGYPTIAN POWER Jesse Ferris Princeton, NJ: Princeton Universit y Press, 2013 (x + 342 pages, bibliography, index, illustrations, maps) $45.00 (cloth)The 1962-70 Yemeni civil war is often considered only a minor episode in Egyptian and Middle Eastern history, with some accounts referring to it as the Unknown War. To remedy this problem, Jesse Ferris draws on archival material from Britain, Canada, Egypt, Germany, Israel, Russia, and the United States. He brings together these sources in a thoughtful analysis of Egyptian foreign policy from 1962, when the war began, to when Egypt was forced to withdraw before the end of hostilities in Yemen in 1970. greatest contribution of the book is the incorporation of Egyptian military officers' memoirs into the historical narrative of Gamal Abdel Nasser's intervention in the Yemeni civil war. It provides an in-depth portrayal of Egyptian political intrigue prior to and during Egypt's entry into Yemen, with particular attention to the relationship between Nasser and his military chief of staff, 'Abd al-Hakim 'Amr.Ferris argues that Nasser's support for the Yemeni revolution was the harbinger of Egypt's downfall in 1967 and the popular decline of Nasser's Arab nationalist ideology. His account shows how the initial deploymentof Egyptian troops in Yemen was not premeditated, nor was the continued investment of Egyptian military and economic resources in the war effort. Nasser's unintentional war drained Egypt's economy and drove its foreign policy into opposition to that of the United States and into conformity with Soviet politicians. Egypt's intervention in Yemen, Ferris concludes, compounded the economic, diplomatic, and domestic political crises that characterized the 1960s in Egypt and that influenced Nasser's decision- making in the weeks prior to the June 1967 war with Israel.While the majority of the book focuses on Nasser's Yemeni interven- tion, the final chapter pursues a tangential analysis of the causes of the 1967 war. Many of the conclusions drawn linking Yemen and the 1967 war are speculative and do not provide concrete evidence for an interpretation that runs against the general scholarly consensus that Egypt's involvement in the Yemeni civil war was a relatively minor factor affecting the war's outcome (see, for example, Eugene Rogan and Tewfik Aclimandos, The Yemen War and Egypt's War Preparedness in June 1967, in 1967 Arab-Israeli War: Origins and Consequences, ed. William Roger Louis and Avi Shlaim [Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2012]). Ferris takes his narrative largely from his dissertation, which ends in Yemen at the close of 1966. decision to add a final chapter focusing on the Six Day War and to change the title from its original, Egypt, the Cold War, and the Civil War in Yemen, 1962-1966, is unfortunate, as it detracts from his extensive research done on the Yemeni civil war, without adding significantly to the literature on 1967.In order to explain Egypt's logic at each historical juncture in the Yemeni civil war, Ferris examines internal Egyptian politics through the perspectives of international actors participating in the conflict. In an attempt to regain an ideological advantage in the Arab world, Nasser declared his intentions to undermine the reactionary Saudi Arabian monarchy. King Sa'ud and King Faisal, in turn, continued their support of the Yemeni counterrevolutionary opposition and were disinclined to approve peace accords while Egyptian soldiers were present on the Arabian Peninsula. This Saudi-Egyptian rivalry impeded multiple attempts to hold an Arab- mediated peace conference during 1965 and 1966.The Soviet Union was initially enthusiastic about Egypt's interven- tion and supported it with arms, financing, pilots, and training. After Leonid Brezhnev ousted Nikita Khrushchev in 1964, however, the Soviets demanded a repayment of military and economic loans, thereby exacerbating Egypt's domestic economic crisis and undermining Egyptian independ- ence. …

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.598
Threshold uncertainty score0.714

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.032
GPT teacher head0.322
Teacher spread0.290 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designQualitative
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueArab studies journalSame topicMiddle East and Rwanda ConflictsFrench-language works237,207