Discrepancy between clinical and pathological stage: external validation of the impact on prognosis in an international radical cystectomy cohort
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Study Type – Prognosis (case series) Level of Evidence 4 What’s known on the subject? and What does the study add? Observations from small retrospective studies have indicated that a considerable number of patients undergoing radical cystectomy for bladder cancer experience a stage migration (either upstaging or downstaging) when comparing clinical and pathological staging. In addition, it is unclear if pathological upstaging is an adverse prognostic feature independent of pathological stage. We report the frequency of upstaging and downstaging using a large, international multicentre cohort of patients undergoing radical cystectomy for bladder cancer without neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Our findings indicate that pathological upstaging is not an independent adverse prognostic feature when considering pathological stage. OBJECTIVE • To compare the clinical and pathologic stage among a large, multi‐institutional series of patients undergoing radical and to determine the effect of stage discrepancy on outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS • Data was collected from nine centers and 3,393 patients with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) treated with radical cystectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy without neo‐adjuvant chemotherapy. • A retrospective cohort design was used to assess the percentage of patients experiencing stage discrepancy and the impact of stage discrepancy on time to disease relapse and time to death from UCB. RESULTS • Clinical under staging occurred in 50% of patients and pathologic down staging occurred in 18% of patients. • Up staging to muscle invasive disease occurred in 45.9% (n = 592) of 1,291 patients with clinical ≤T1, including 30.6% of patients with Tis only at transurethral resection. • Of the 3,166 patients with clinically organ confined (OC) tumor stage, 1,357 (42.9%) were up staged to non‐organ confined pathologic tumor stage. • Within each clinical stage stratum, patients who were clinically under staged had a higher probability of disease relapse or death from UCB compared to those who were same staged or down staged on pathologic examination ( P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS • We identified clinical under staging in half of the patients undergoing radical cystectomy for UCB. • Up staging resulted in a higher likelihood of disease progression and eventual death from UCB. • These findings should be considered when utilizing pre‐operative risk‐adapted strategies for selecting candidates for neoadjuvant chemotherapy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.023 | 0.065 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".