Exhaustible Resources, Technology Transition, And Endogenous Fertility in an Overlapping - Generations Model
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The paper presents a synthesis of the economics of exhaustible resources and that of endogenous fertility in an overlapping-generations model. Renewable energy is produced by a backstop, while the consumption good is produced from energy – provided by the backstop or from a stock of fossil fuels – and labor. Along the equilibrium path, we show that the stock of fossil fuels might or might not have been completely depleted. Under the first possibility, the forward-looking competitive equilibrium can be computed recursively from the steady state of the economy. This is however no longer possible under the second possibility where the part of the resource stock left in situ serves as the oil bubble. In this case, long run equilibrium indeterminacy arises with a continuum of possible steady states. Also, the dynamic convergence to a steady state is far from being simply monotone, and might exhibit cyclical behavior, such as damped oscillation, limit cycles, etc.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".