Can Clinical Reference Tools Support Medical Students during Hypothesis Generation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Hypothesis generation is a fundamental step in diagnostic reasoning that requires specific cognitive support.We hypothesize that existing clinical reference tools are ineffective at supporting hypothesis generation because they can be searched by disease but not by symptoms.To test this hypothesis, we conducted a study with 16 medical students in which they were asked to solve a diagnostically challenging neurological case.Participants first worked on the case without any support.Then they were allowed to consult the clinical reference tools of their choice and revise their initial list of diagnostic hypotheses.Before consultation, none of the participants was able to generate the correct diagnosis.After consultation, 3 participants were able to include the correct diagnosis in their hypothesis list.Of those, only one was able to confirm the correct diagnosis.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.107 | 0.523 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.010 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.006 |
| Research integrity | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.010 | 0.003 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".