L’espérance de vie sans incapacité, un indicateur de l’évolution des conditions de santé au cours du temps : vingt ans de calcul
Bibliographic record
Abstract
En l'absence de données fiables sur l'évolution de la morbidité, il existe trois grandes théories sur l'évolution de l'état de santé des populations qui accompagne la chute de la mortalité : la pandémie des troubles mentaux, des maladies chroniques et des incapacités; la compression de la morbidité; et les théories de l'équilibre. Toutes ces théories ont été décrites en termes d'évolution relative de l'espérance de vie (EV) et de l'espérance de vie sans incapacité (EVSI). Or plusieurs séries d'espérances de vie sans incapacité ont déjà été calculées. La plupart concernent les États-Unis et s'appuient sur les données d'incapacité du National Health Interview Survey. Quel enseignement quant à l'évolution des conditions de santé au cours du temps peut-on tirer de ces études qui ensemble, couvrent une période de trente ans?
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.010 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".