Climate investigations using ice sheet and mass balance models with emphasis on North American glaciation
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This dissertation describes the application of the University of Maine Ice Sheet Model (UM-ISM) and Environmental Change Model (UM-ECM) to understanding mechanisms of ice-sheet/climate integration during ice ages. The UM-ECM, written by the author for this research, calculates equilibrium biome and snow/ice mass balance solutions for the globe based on modern input climatology and user-defined parameter values. The program was produced in conjunction with a National Science Foundation ITEST grant meant to seed inquiry-based classroom study of Earth systems using computer models. To that end, the UM-ECM serves as both a research and teaching tool. The model has a web-based interface, which has been tested with a group of middle school science teachers with a focus on local to global-scale climate learning. Initially, the UM-ISM and UM-ECM are used to reconstruct the former ice cap of the Wind River Mountains, Wyoming, in a companion study to a UMaine field research effort to document worldwide glacier recession during the last termination. It is found that the ice cap likely formed in response to a 5-6 °C cooling in conjunction with a precipitation doubling relative to modern conditions. Moreover, the maximum ice cap could have disappeared within 90 years if subjected to modern climate conditions. These results support hypotheses that the western U.S. became wetter during glacial stadials due to a southward-shifted North American storm track in response to Laurentide Ice Sheet orography, and that ice caps of the western U.S. are exceptionally sensitivity to climatic perturbation. The UMaine ice sheet and climate models are then used to assess the coupling between the Laurentide Ice Sheet and climate during ice-age cycles. It is shown that the classic "sawtooth" pattern of global sea-level change can be reproduced in the model by linking size of the polar atmospheric cell over eastern Canada to size of the Laurentide Ice Sheet and the magnitude of insolation forcing. Model results also show that mechanical collapse of the Laurentide Ice Sheet is a requisite for the deglaciation of North America. In the absence of this collapse, and with consideration of orography feedbacks, Canada would remain glaciated throughout Holocene with an ice sheet large enough to lower global sea level 15-40 m. These results support a hypothesis that feedbacks inherent to the Laurentide Ice Sheet drive much of the global ice-age signal.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it