MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W1612790909 · doi:10.1002/9780470057339.vnn123

Climate Change and North American Great Plains' Drought

2012· other· en· W1612790909 on OpenAlexaffabout
David Sauchyn, Barrie Bonsal

Bibliographic record

VenueEncyclopedia of Environmetrics · 2012
Typeother
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicTree-ring climate responses
Canadian institutionsEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaUniversity of Regina
FundersClimate Extremes
KeywordsClimate changeNorthern HemisphereGeographyPeriod (music)ClimatologyLatitudeNatural (archaeology)Southern HemispherePhysical geographyEcologyArchaeologyGeologyBiology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Since human activities and ecosystem health are dependent on adequate, reliable water supplies, droughts pose a serious threat to society and the environment. Over much of the Northern Hemisphere high latitudes, droughts are a recurrent feature of the natural climate as evidenced from direct measurements during the instrumental period, and as inferred from paleo‐reconstructions dating back several centuries. However, concern has been expressed regarding climate‐change impacts on future drought frequency, duration, and severity over various regions of the world and in particular, continental interior regions at high latitudes. This article synthesizes relevant scientific research regarding drought in the North American Great Plains, and the Canadian Prairies in particular. First, we review existing knowledge regarding the large‐scale atmospheric causes of North American drought. This is followed by a synopsis of past trends and variability of drought occurrence in the instrumental and paleo record. We then summarize research on the future drought in a changing climate. This article concludes with the identification of major research gaps that will aid in the ability to understand and predict future changes to Great Plains' droughts.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.910
Threshold uncertainty score0.179

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.214
Teacher spread0.193 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2012
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueEncyclopedia of EnvironmetricsSame topicTree-ring climate responsesFrench-language works237,207