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Record W163683245

The Chinese Challenge to Russia in Siberia and the Russian Far East

2008· article· en· W163683245 on OpenAlex
Ernest Raiklin

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

Venue˜The œJournal of social, political, and economic studies · 2008
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicSoviet and Russian History
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsChinaContext (archaeology)Far EastBureaucracySuccessor cardinalGeographyRussian federationPolitical scienceEast AsiaEconomyDevelopment economicsPoliticsRegional scienceLaw
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Soviet Union was broken up by internal forces. Today, Russia faces a potential threat to the long-term integrity of a vast proportion of its territory. That challenge is from China, and relates to all of Russia east of the Ural Mountains, i.e., Siberia and the Russian Far East. The author here examines the territorial, demographic, socioeconomic, cultural and other factors that set the context for this threat; and discusses possible scenarios for the eventual outcome. Key Words: Russia; China; Siberia; Russian Far East; China-Russia Comparisons; China-Russia Border Dispute; Demographic Migration; Future of Siberia and Russian Far East. The breaking up of the Soviet Union into fifteen independent states was due to internal factors, linked largely to the national bureaucraties that together comprised the bureaucracy of the USSR.1 Now, contemporary Russia, whose official name as one of the fifteen successor independent republics2 is the Russian Federation (RF), faces a serious territorial challenge to its vast possessions east of the Ural Mountains, i.e., Siberia and the Russian Far East. This challenge3 is from the People's Republic of China (PRC), which we will refer to here simply as China. We propose to examine the current circumstances pertaining to the Chinese challenge, before speculating on the various scenarios that may evolve from it The Current Context The Territorial Setting Territorially, Russia is the largest country in the world. Its maximum distance from the west to the east is 9,000 kilometers, or 5,600 miles, and from the north to the south is 4,000 kilometers, or 2,500 miles.4 Its territory encompasses 17,075,000 square kilometers, or 6,600,000 square miles.5 The Ural Mountains (the Urals) divide Russia into two parts: the European, which is to the west of the Urals, and the Asian, which is to the east of the Urals. The Asian part of Russia, in turn, is subdivided into two regions: Siberia, consisting of Eastern Siberia and Western Siberia; and the Russian Far East. Being enormous in size, Russia borders on sixteen countries. Fourteen of them are linked to Russia directly by land. In its European portion, Russia is flanked by ten countries.6 The list of its Asian land neighbors includes four countries. The remaining two countries border the Asian part of Russia indirectly, by a water frontier. These are Japan and the United States. Altogether, the Russian land and water frontiers are the longest in the world. They extend for 57,792 kilometers, or 35,920 miles, of which the Russian-Chinese border is 4,200 kilometers, or 2,600 miles.7 Necessarily, the task of guarding a huge country which borders so many countries over such long distances presents a great problem for the Russian authorities. In this, Russia is not helped by having on its eastern flank such a giant neighbor as China. China's gigantism, compared to Russia, is not in its territory. The territory of China (9.6 million square kilometers, or 3.7 million square miles) is the fourth in the world, after Russia, Canada, and the USA.8 Where China overshadows Russia is in demographics, in the size of its economy, and in its current developmental dynamism. The Demographic Setting Let us use Table 1 to make demographic comparisons between Russia and China. While territorially Russia is 11.8 times larger than China, the Chinese population is 9.1 times greater than the Russian. Indeed, China has the largest population in the world, while Russia occupies only the seventh place. Facing this enormous Chinese population, Russia is also confronted with the problem of a very uneven distribution of its own population across its vast territory: as Table 1 reveals, less than 1/5 of its population resides in its Asian regions, which constitute two thirds of its territory20. It is true that only a small portion of China borders Russia. But in the land along this mutual frontier, there are more than nineteen Chinese per square kilometer for each Russian. …

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies
Consensus categoriesScience and technology studies
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.731
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0030.004
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.034
GPT teacher head0.310
Teacher spread0.276 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it