Impact of the stratosphere on tropospheric climate change
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The atmospheric circulation response to CO 2 doubling in various versions of an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) without a well‐resolved stratosphere (“low‐top” model), is compared to the response in a version of the same AGCM with a well‐resolved stratosphere (“high‐top” model). The doubled CO 2 response of the “best‐tuned” (i.e. operational) low‐top model version is significantly different from that in the best‐tuned high‐top model version. Additional experiments show that this difference is not caused by the model lid height, but instead can be mainly attributed to differences in the settings of parameterized orographic gravity‐wave drag which control the strength of the zonal wind in the mid‐ to high‐latitude lower stratosphere and the mean sea‐level pressure distribution. These findings suggest a link between the strength of the winds in the mid‐ to high‐latitude lower stratosphere and tropospheric annular mode responses, and have implications for how to proceed with high‐top low‐top model intercomparisons.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".