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Record W1678950249

An Empirical Comparison: Two Special Cases of CEV Option Pricing Model and Black-Scholes Model on S&P Canada 60 Index Call Options

2008· article· en· W1678950249 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueASAC · 2008
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicStochastic processes and financial applications
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBlack–Scholes modelValuation of optionsCrashEconomicsIndex (typography)Stock market crashEconometricsRational pricingFinite difference methods for option pricingCall optionFinancial economicsEmpirical researchFinancial marketPut optionStock marketActuarial scienceCapital asset pricing modelMathematicsVolatility (finance)Computer scienceStatisticsFinanceContext (archaeology)
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Given that the options market is now very large and significant part of the trade of financial instruments, the evaluation of pricing of these derivatives becomes very important for regulators as well as market participants. The value of an option can be estimated by using a variety of quantitative techniques based on the concept of risk neutral pricing. In the famous Black-Scholes pricing formula it is assumed that the underlying stock price returns follow a lognormal distribution. However, empirical studies have shown that this assumption does not perfectly hold. Rubinstein (1994) examines the S&P 500 index option market and finds that Black-Scholes implied volatilities have a “smile” pattern prior to October 1987 market crash and a “sneer” after the crash. Consequently, several kinds of modification of the variances have been tried.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.421
Threshold uncertainty score0.986

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.069
GPT teacher head0.286
Teacher spread0.217 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it