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Record W1758013116 · doi:10.1002/wilm.10382

Smiling for the Delayed Volatility Swaps

2014· article· en· W1758013116 on OpenAlexaff
Anatoliy Swishchuk, Nelson Vadori

Bibliographic record

VenueWilmott · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicStochastic processes and financial applications
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVolatility (finance)Variance swapVolatility swapBusinessEconomicsFinancial economicsMonetary economicsFinancial systemImplied volatility

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract. We present a variance drift adjusted version of the Heston model which leads to a significant improvement of the market volatility surface fitting (compared to Heston). The numerical example we performed with recent market data shows a sig-nificant reduction of the average absolute calibration error 1 (calibration on 12 dates ranging from Sep. 19th to Oct. 17th 2011 for the FOREX underlying EURUSD). Our model has two additional parameters compared to the Heston model, can be implemented very easily and was initially introduced for volatility derivatives pricing purpose. The main idea behind our model is to take into account some past history of the variance process in its (risk-neutral) diffusion. Using a change of time method for continuous local martingales, we derive a closed formula for the Brockhaus&Long approximation of the volatility swap price in this model. We also consider dynamic hedging of volatility swaps using a portfolio of variance swaps.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.988
Threshold uncertainty score0.260

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.028
GPT teacher head0.226
Teacher spread0.198 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations20
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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