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Record W175899721

Analysis of Marked Recurrent Events in the Presence of a Terminating Event.

2012· article· en· W175899721 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Yu Ma

Bibliographic record

VenueDeep Blue (University of Michigan) · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsNormalization propertyEvent (particle physics)Computer sciencePhysicsProgramming language
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In many biomedical studies where the event of interest is recurrent (e.g., hospital admission), marks are observed upon the occurrence of each event (e.g., medical costs, length of stay). In Chapter II, we propose novel methods which contrast group-specific cumulative means, influenced by the recurrent event rate and survival probability. Our proposed methods utilize a form of hierarchical modeling: a proportional hazards model for the terminating event; a proportional rates model for the conditional recurrent event rate given survival; and a generalized estimating equations approach for the marks, given an event has occurred. Group-specific cumulative means are estimated (as processes over time) by averaging fitted values from the afore-listed models, with the averaging being with respect to the marginal covariate distribution. Large sample properties are derived, while simulation studies are conducted to assess finite sample properties. We apply the proposed methods to data obtained from the CANADA-USA Peritoneal Dialysis Study. Typically in observational studies, it is necessary to account for measured and un-measured heterogeneity across study subjects. This is often accomplished through model covariates (for measured factors) and frailty variates (to account for unmeasured predictors). In Chapter III, we propose fully parametric models and estimation is carried out simultaneously. Residual correlation across the terminating event, recurrent event and mark process is captured by a Normal frailty variate. Maximum likelihood based estimation is carried out via a Gaussian Quadrature technique for integration. Through simulation, the methods are shown to work well for practical sample sizes. In Chapter IV, we develop inverse weighting methods to contrast group-specific cumulative means. Both the underlying data structure and the target estimands are the same as those from Chapter II. However, we avoid constructing semi-parametric or parametric models for each process to achieve consistent estimates in Chapter IV. We further take into account of treatment imbalance and unobserved censoring times by combining Inverse Probability Treatment Weighting (IPTW) and Inverse Probability Censoring Weighting (IPCW). Efficiency is compared with the procedure proposed in Chapter II.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.008
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.026
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.008
Threshold uncertainty score0.045

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0080.026
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.236
Teacher spread0.219 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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