Unbiased Estimation for Linear Regression When n < v
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper a new method is proposed for solving the linear regression problem when the number of observations $n$ is smaller than the number of predictors v. This method uses the idea of graphical models and provides unbiased parameter estimates under certain conditions, while existing methods such as ridge regression, LASSO and least angle regression (LARS) give biased estimates. Also the new method can provide a detailed graphical correlation structure for the predictors, therefore the real causal relationship between predictors and response could be identified. In contrast, existing methods often cannot identify the real important predictors which have possible causal effects on the response variable. Unlike the existing methods based on graphical models, the proposed method can identify the potential networks while doing regression even if the data do not follow a multivariate distribution. The new method is compared with some existing methods such as ridge regression, LASSO and LARS by using simulated and real data sets. Our experiments reveal that the new method outperforms all the other methods when n<v.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it