Determinantes de la Inflación en una Economía Dolarizada: El Caso Ecuatoriano
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Esta investigación estima un modelo VAR estructural para identificar las causas de la inflación en el Ecuador. La contribución de las variables exógenas en la inflación se analiza utilizando la descomposición de la varianza. A diferencia de estudios anteriores, no sólo se identifica el impacto de cada variable exógena en la tasa de inflación, sino que además se estima la tasa de inflación a partir de las variables exógenas del modelo. Los resultados muestran que en el primer trimestre del 2008 los principales determinantes de la inflación en el Ecuador fueron los precios internacionales, los tipos de cambio y las políticas públicas.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it