Sensitivity of the thermohaline circulation to tropical and high latitude freshwater forcing during the last glacial‐interglacial cycle
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Recent studies indicate that the tropical freshwater budget of the Atlantic is modulated by changes in El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO). If anomalies of the Atlantic freshwater balance persist on the order of decades, these might have a large influence on the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC). Here we present a sensitivity study in which we use a model scenario for ENSO behavior during the last 120 kyr to force a simplified model of the THC with corresponding freshwater exchange between the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. If the steady state strength of the North Atlantic THC is similar to the present‐day, its response to the forcing is of the order of 1–3 Sv (1 Sv = 106 m3 s−1). No mode changes of the THC are simulated for reasonable values of the coupling constant between freshwater exchange and ENSO. If, on the other hand, the steady state overturning is significantly weaker, a collapse of the THC occurs due to forcing from the tropics. The modeled THC variation due to tropical freshwater perturbations are compared to those resulting from middle‐ and high‐latitude freshwater forcing due to long‐term growth and decay of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets. It is found that both forcings are of similar amplitude except during the deglaciation when high latitude forcing dominates. A possible out‐of‐phase relationship between deep water formation in the North Pacific and North Atlantic is also explored.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".