Abstract 19392: A Landmark Analysis of 30-day Mortality after Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery in Patients with Ischemic Heart Failure: Results of the Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure (STICH) Trial
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Among patients (pts) with coronary artery disease (CAD) who are candidates for coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG), a reduced ejection fraction (EF) identifies a high-risk group. The profile of pre-operative, intra-operative and post-operative factors contributing to 30 day (d) mortality in pts with low EF undergoing CABG has not been well characterized. Methods: The STICH trial enrolled 2136 pts with CAD amenable to CABG with an LVEF < 35% who were treated with medical therapy (MED) alone, MED with CABG, or with MED plus CABG and surgical ventricular resconstruction (SVR). Multivariable logistic regression models utilizing extensive baseline, intra-operative and post-operative care variables were developed to determine factors associated with mortality at 30d in a landmark analysis among pts surviving the first 36 hours (h). Results: Among those enrolled, 1460 pts received CABG; 673 (46.1%) on pump, 160 (11.0%) off pump, 132 (9.0%) with a mitral valve procedure (MVR), 393 (26.9%) with SVR, and 102 (7.0%) received CABG with SVR and MVR. Mortality in the operating room (OR) was 0.3 %, within the first 36h was 1.0%, and at 30d was 5.1%. The rate of in-hospital acute myocardial infarction was 0.8%, stroke 1.6%, mediastinitis 1.7%, worsening renal insufficiency 8.4%, and return to OR was 6.9%. Inotropes were used in 43.6% and intra-aortic balloon pump in 18.6%. At 36h, 148 pts (10.2%) remained intubated. Among pts who survived to 36h, a robust multivariable model (Table, c-statistic 0.89) was developed to predict 30d mortality. A prolonged intubation time (>36h) was the strongest marker of 30d mortality (odds ratio 7.4, 95% CI 3.8, 14.5, p<0.0001). Conclusions: Among pts with ischemic heart failure, CABG can be performed with a low rate of complications and intra-operative mortality. Prolonged intubation time (>36h) after CABG is an integrated clincal marker that may serve to identify those pts with the least likelihood of survival to 30d.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".