Impact of extended NAO buoyancy forcing on the subpolar North Atlantic and climate variability over the last millenium
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We examine the impact of forcing a regional eddy‐permitting ocean model of the subpolar North Atlantic with anomalous buoyancy fluxes corresponding to extended extreme states of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). We find a weakened (enhanced) Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) in our low (high) NAO simulations. Such results may be consistent with ideas that suggest the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and the Little Ice Age are associated with periods when the NAO is predominantly in one phase. Our results also show multidecadal MOC variability with a period of 70 years in our high‐NAO simulation, in comparison to an equilibrium‐like circulation under low‐NAO related forcing. A less stable climatic state is therefore suggested to occur under high‐NAO forcing, which may be consistent with ideas that suggest the warming associated with the MWP did not occur synchronously over the North Atlantic. The variability appears to be brought about by internal oceanic processes.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".