Particles in the great Pinatubo volcanic cloud of June 1991: The role of ice
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Pinatubo's 15 June 1991 eruption was Earth's largest of the last 25 years, and it formed a substantial volcanic cloud. We present results of analysis of satellite‐based infrared remote sensing using Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) and TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder/High Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder/2 (TOVS/HIRS/2) sensors, during the first few days of atmospheric residence of the Pinatubo volcanic cloud, as it drifted from the Philippines toward Africa. An SO 2 ‐rich upper (25 km) portion drifted westward slightly faster than an ash‐rich lower (22 km) part, though uncertainty exists due to difficulty in precisely locating the ash cloud. The Pinatubo clouds contained particles of ice, ash, and sulfate which could be sensed with infrared satellite data. Multispectral IR data from HIRS/2 were most useful for sensing the Pinatubo clouds because substantial amounts of both ice and ash were present. Ice and ash particles had peak masses of about 80 and 50 Mt, respectively, within the first day of atmospheric residence and declined very rapidly to values that were <10 Mt within 3 days. Ice and ash declined at a similar rate, and it seems likely that ice and ash formed mixed aggregates which enhanced fallout. Sulfate particles were detected in the volcanic cloud by IR satellites very soon after eruption, and their masses increased systematically at a rate consistent with their formation from SO 2 , which was slowly decreasing in mass during the same period. The initially detected sulfate mass was 4 Mt (equivalent to 3 Mt SO 2 ) and after 5 days was 12–16 Mt (equivalent to 9–12 Mt SO 2 ).
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it