Chaotic behaviour and non-linear prediction of airborne radar sea clutter data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The potential to model sea clutter radar returns using chaos theory is examined. Chaotic systems display qualitative similarities to sea clutter returns such as broad flat spectra, boundedness and irregular temporal behaviour. In this report several key parameters of chaotic systems, namely correlation dimension, Lyapunov spectrum and Lyapunov dimension are calculated from real sea clutter returns and found to be consistent with a chaotic interpretation. The airborne high resolution data (less than one metre) produces a correlation coefficient with an average value of 4.63 and an embedding dimension of 6-7. Lyapunov dimensions are consistent with correlation values. A local linear technique and a radial basis function (RBF) are used to construct a one step non-linear predictor. A mean square error (MSE) of approximately 0.0032 between the predicted and normalized (i.e. maximum +/-1 range) real time series is measured.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".