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Record W1905782411 · doi:10.5539/ijef.v7n9p105

Determinants of Export Growth Rate: The Case of Madagascar

2015· article· en· W1905782411 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Seraphin Tovonjatovo

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal of Economics and Finance · 2015
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal trade and economics
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNational Natural Science Foundation of China
KeywordsEconomicsExchange rateDepreciation (economics)Foreign direct investmentMonetary economicsGrowth rateInternational economicsCurrencyMacroeconomicsCapital formationMicroeconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This paper uses econometric analysis to explore the determinants of export growth rate in Madagascar over the period 1985-2013. Based on the model, variables of export price, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), world Income, terms of trade, real exchange rate and farm gate price are employed. The results show that export growth rate, export price, FDI, world income, terms of trade, real exchange rate and farm gate price are co integrated. The estimated long run (short run) elasticity of export growth rate with terms of trade show significantly a positive impact on export growth rate whereas farm gate price negative effect. However, in term of the real exchange rate, in short run, it stimulates export growth as an incentive in form of depreciation of the currency but in long run the positive elasticity expressing an appreciation of the currency affect export growth rate negatively. The FDI and world income a weak positive influence on the export growth rate. The effect of export price level on export growth rate is not verified implying that the price does not explain export growth rate in Madagascar.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.073
Threshold uncertainty score0.145

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.063
GPT teacher head0.242
Teacher spread0.179 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2015
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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