Risque et décisions en gestion de l'eau. Essai d'analyse de la rationalité du dialogue entre hydrologue et gestionnaire. [Tribune libre / Article bilingue]
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Le concept de risque, trop souvent imprécis, est analysé et un essai de définition rationnelle est tenté pour tenir compte à la fois des aspects de probabilité et de conséquences dommageables. On montre que toute analyse de risque en sciences de l'eau doit résulter d'un dialogue entre hydrologue et gestionnaire qui doit respecter des critères de clarté , d'efficacité et de cohérence. On insiste particulièrement sur la nécessaire prise en compte par l'hydrologue d'une expression, même simplifiée, des conséquences dommageables réelles pour le gestionnaire ou les membres de la cible du risque.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.016 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.009 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.009 | 0.007 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.017 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".