Differentiation of acute from chronic hepatitis C virus infection by nonstructural 5B deep sequencing: A population‐level tool for incidence estimation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
UNLABELLED: The ability to classify acute versus chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections at the time of diagnosis is desirable to improve the quality of surveillance information. The aim of this study was to differentiate acute from chronic HCV infections utilizing deep sequencing. HCV nonstructural 5B (NS5B) amplicons (n = 94) were generated from 77 individuals (13 acute and 64 chronic HCV infections) in British Columbia, Canada, with documented seroconversion time frames. Amplicons were deep sequenced and HCV genomic diversity was measured by Shannon entropy (SE) and a single nucleotide variant (SNV) analysis. The relationship between each diversity measure and the estimated days since infection was assessed using linear mixed models, and the ability of each diversity measure to differentiate acute from chronic infections was assessed using generalized estimating equations. Both SE and the SNV diversity measures were significantly different for acute versus chronic infections (P < 0.009). NS5B nucleotide diversity continued to increase for at least 3 years postinfection. Among individuals with the least uncertainty with regard to duration of infection (n = 39), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was high (0.96 for SE; 0.98 for SNV). Although the AUROCs were lower (0.86 for SE; 0.80 for SNV) when data for all individuals were included, they remain sufficiently high for epidemiological purposes. Synonymous mutations were the primary discriminatory variable accounting for over 78% of the measured genetic diversity. CONCLUSIONS: NS5B sequence diversity assessed by deep sequencing can differentiate acute from chronic HCV infections and, with further validation, could become a powerful population-level surveillance tool for incidence estimation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".