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Record W1964439841 · doi:10.5430/air.v1n2p198

Role of soft computing techniques in predicting stock market direction

2012· article· en· W1964439841 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Panchal Amitkumar Mansukhbhai, Jayeshkumar Patel

Bibliographic record

VenueArtificial Intelligence Research · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSoft computingStock marketComputer sciencePopularityChaoticFinancial marketEconometricsData miningFinanceArtificial intelligenceEconomicsArtificial neural network

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The stock market is a complex and dynamic system with noisy, non-stationary and chaotic data series. Prediction of a financial market is more challenging due to chaos and uncertainty of the system. Soft computing techniques are progressively gaining presence in the financial world. Compared to traditional techniques to predict the market direction, soft computing is gaining the advantage of accuracy and speed. However the input data selection is the major issue in soft computing. The aim of this paper is to explain the potential day by day research contribution of soft computing to solve complex problem such as stock market direction prediction. This study paper synthesizes five reference papers and explains how soft computing is gaining the popularity in the field of financial market. The selection of papers are based on various models wich are processing different input parameters for predicting the direction of stock market.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.068
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.050
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.836
Threshold uncertainty score0.960

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0680.050
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.004
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.369
GPT teacher head0.535
Teacher spread0.165 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designOther design
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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