MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W1970747536 · doi:10.1080/00139157.2012.711663

The Arctic: Past or Prologue?

2012· article· en· W1970747536 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironment Science and Policy for Sustainable Development · 2012
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicArctic and Russian Policy Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPrologueArcticThe arcticHistoryOceanographyGeologyArchaeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Click to increase image sizeClick to decrease image size Notes 1. Thomas Berry, quote available at http://www.thomasberry.org (accessed 15 January 2012). 2. Aqqaluk Lynge, "Inuit in the Changing Arctic: A Bright New Future or Fight for Survival?" The Rabbi Marshall Meyer Social Justice Great Issues Lecture, Dartmouth College, 7 February 2012. 3. Scott G. Borgerson, "Arctic Meltdown: The Economic and Security Implications of Global Warming," Foreign Affairs 87, no. 2 (2008): 63–77. 4. Roger Howard, The Arctic Gold Rush (London: Continuum, 2009), pp. 62–82. 5. Ronald O'Rourke, Changes in the Arctic: Background and Issues for Congress, Congressional Research Service, 7-5700 (2012), www.crs.gov, R41153, 84 pp. 6. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency, Arctic Report Card: Update for 2011, available at http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/index.html (accessed 15 January 2012). 7. National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), "Arctic Sea Ice News & Analysis," "What's in a Number?," "Arctic Sea Ice and Record Lows," http://nsidc.org/icelights/2011/11/02 (accessed 12 November 2011). 8. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), "NASA Mission Takes Stock of Earth's Melting Land Ice," http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/grace (accessed 12 February 2012). 9. The U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) supports research into our world's frozen realms: the snow, ice, glaciers, frozen ground, and climate interactions that make up Earth's cryosphere. NSIDC distributes more than 500 cryospheric data sets for researchers, from both satellite and ground observations. See http://nsidc.org 10. D. Budikova, "Role of Arctic Sea Ice in Global Atmospheric Circulation: A Review," Global & Planetary Change, 68, no. 3 (2009): 149–163. 11. J. A. Francis, W. Chan, D. J. Leathers, J. R. Miller, and D. E. Veron, "Winter Northern Hemisphere Weather Patterns Remember Summer Arctic Sea-Ice Extent," Geophysics Research Letters 36 (2009), L07503, doi:10.1029/2009GL037274. 12. J. E. Overland, K. R. Wood, and M. Wang, "Warm Arctic–Cold Continents: Impacts of the Newly Open Arctic Sea," Polar Research 30 (2011), 15787, doi:10.3402/polar.v30i0.15787 13. Nick Bond, James Overland, and Nancy Soreide, "Why and How Do Scientists Study Climate Change in the Arctic? What Are the Arctic Climate Indices?," http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/essay_bond.html (accessed 12 November 2011). 14. S. Manabe and R. J. Stouffer, "Sensitivity of a Global Climate Model to an Increase of CO2 Concentration in the Atmosphere," Journal of Geophysics Research 85 (1980): 5529–5554. 15. M. C. Serreze, A. P. Barrett, J. C. Stroeve, D. N. Kindig, and M. M. Holland, "The Emergence of Surface-Based Arctic Amplification," The Cryosphere 3 (2009): 11–19. 16. G. H. Miller, R. B. Alley, J. Brigham-Grette, J. J. Fitzpatrick, L. Polyak, M. C. Serreze, and J. W. C. White, "Arctic Amplification: Can the Past Constrain the Future?," Quaternary Science Reviews 29, no. 15–16 (2010): 1779–1790, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.02.008 17. M. C. Serreze and Roger G. Barry, "Processes and Impacts of Arctic Amplification: A Research Synthesis," Global and Planetary Change 77 (2011): 85–96. 18. Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (Cambridge University Press, 2004), www.cambridge.org and www.acia.uaf.edu (accessed 5 January 2012). 19. P. Wassmann, "Arctic Marine Ecosystems in an Era of Rapid Climate Change," Progress in Oceanography 90 (2011): 1–17. 20. K. E. Frey, K. R. Arrigo, and R. R. Gradinger, "Arctic Ocean Primary Productivity" (2011), http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/primary_productivity.html (accessed 28 March 2012). 21. D. Vongraven and E. Richardson, "Biodiversity—Status and Trends of Polar Bears" (2011), http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/biodiv_polar_bears.html (accessed 28 March 2012). 22. P. O. Thomas and K. L. Laidre, "Biodiversity—Cetaceans and Pinnipeds (Whales and Seals)" (2011), http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/biodiv_whales_walrus.html (accessed 28 March 2012). 23. National Science Foundation, "The Bonanza Creek Long Term Ecological Research," http://www.lter.uaf.edu (accessed 28 March 2012). 24. National Science Foundation, "Arctic Long Term Ecological Research," http://ecosystems.mbl.edu/ARC/ (accessed 28 March 2012). 25. D. L. Forbes, ed., State of the Arctic Coast 2010—Scientific Review and Outlook. International Arctic Science Committee, Land–Ocean Interactions in the Coastal Zone, Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme, International Permafrost Association, Helmholtz-Zentrum, Geesthacht, Germany (2011), http://arcticcoasts.org (accessed 10 January 2012). 26. Hugues Lantuit, Pier Paul Overduin, Nicole Couture, Sebastian Wetterich, Felix Aré, David Atkinson, Jerry Brown, Georgy Cherkashov, Dmitry Drozdov, Donald Lawrence Forbes, Allison Graves-Gaylord, Mikhail Grigoriev, Hans-Wolfgang Hubberten, James Jordan, Torre Jorgenson, Rune Strand Ødegård, Stanislav Ogorodov, Wayne H. Pollard, Volker Rachold, Sergey Sedenko, Steve Solomon, Frits Steenhuisen, Irina Streletskaya, and Alexander Vasiliev, "The Arctic Coastal Dynamics Database: A New Classification Scheme and Statistics on Arctic Permafrost Coastlines," Estuaries and Coasts (2011), doi:10.1007/s12237-010-9362-6 27. V. E. Romanovsky, S. L. Smith, and H. H. Christiansen, "Permafrost Thermal State in the Polar Northern Hemisphere During the International Polar Year 2007–2009: A Synthesis," Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 21 (2010): 106–116. 28. Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Snow, Water, Ice and Permafrost in the Arctic (SWIPA) 2011, http://amap.no/swipa/ (accessed 10 January 2012). 29. Nicole Herman-Mercer, Paul F. Schuster, and Karonhiakt'tie Bryan Maracle, "Indigenous Observations of Climate Change in the Lower Yukon River Basin, Alaska," Human Organization 70, no. 3 (2011): 244–52. 30. F. Westley, S. R. Carpenter, W. A. Brok, C. S., Holling, and L. H. Gunderson, (2002). "Why Systems of People and Nature are Not Just Social and Natural Ecological Systems," in L. H. Gunderson and C. S. Holling (eds.), Panarchy: Understanding Transformations in Human and Natural Systems (Washington, DC: Island Press, 2002), pp. 103–119. 31. Alun Anderson, After the Ice: Life, Death, and Geopolitics in the New Arctic (New York, NY: Smithsonian Books, 2009). 32. Richard Sale and Eugene Potapov, The Scramble for the Arctic: Ownership, Exploitation and Conflict in the Far North (London, UK: Frances Lincoln, 2010). 33. Charles Emmerson, The Future History of the Arctic. (London, UK: The Bodley Head, 2010). 34. O'Rourke, note 5 above. 35. Arctic Marine Shipping Assessment 2009 Report, Arctic Council (April 2009), second printing. http://www.pame.is/amsa/amsa-2009-report (accessed 01 August 2012). 36. U.S. Geological Survey, Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal: Estimates of Undiscovered Oil and Gas North of the Arctic Circle, USGS Fact Sheet 2008-3049 (Washington, DC: 2008), http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2008/3049 (accessed 10 November 2011). 37. Donald L. Gautier, "Assessment of Undiscovered Oil and Gas in the Arctic," Science 324 (2009): 1175–1179. 38. O'Rourke, note 5 above. 39. N. Hong, "The Melting Arctic and Its Impact on China's Maritime Transport," Research in Transportation Economics (2012), doi:10.1016/j.retrec.2011.11.003 (accessed 2 May 2012). 40. O'Rourke, Ronald, note 5 above. 41. M. Hulme, "Understanding Climate Change: The Power and the Limit of Science," Weather 62, no. 9 (2007): 243–244. 42 M. Hulme, "Moving Beyond Climate Change," Environment 52, no. 3 (2010), 15–19. 43. M. Hulme, "Cosmopolitan Climates: Hybridity, Foresight and Meaning," Theory, Culture and Society 27, no. 2/3 (2010): 267–276. 44. M. Hulme, "Learning to Live With Re-Created Climates," Nature and Culture 5, no. 2 (2010), 117–122. 45. M. Hulme, "'Telling a Different Tale': Literary, Historical and Meteorological Readings of a Norfolk Heatwave," Special Issue on Cultural Spaces of Climate edited by Georgina Endfield. Climate Change 112 (2012): 1–17. 46. M. Hulme, Why We Disagree About Climate Change: Understanding Controversy, Inaction and Opportunity (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2009). 47. Mark Nuttall, "Living in a World of Movement: Human Resilience to Environmental Instability in Greenland," in Susan A. Crate and Mark Nuttall, eds., Anthropology and Climate Change: From Encounters to Actions (Walnut Creek, CA: Left Coast, 2009) pp. 292–310. 48. Aqqaluk Lynge, "Strengthening Culture Through Change: Will Climate Change Strengthen Or Destroy Us?," Address to the Royal Scottish Geographical Society at the University of Edinburgh, October 19, 2009, http://www.inuit.org/index.php?id=280&contUid=0 (accessed 9 December 2011). 49. Eckart Ehkers, and Thomas Kraft, eds., Earth Systems Science in the Anthropocene (New York, NY: Springer, 2006). 50. M. Hulme, Why We Disagree About Climate Change, note 46 above. 51. Ingrid Peritz, "Don't be Naive on Climate Change, Norway's Former PM Cautions Canada," Toronto Globe and Mail (2012). http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/dont-be-naive-on-climate-change-norways-former-pm-cautions-canada/article (accessed 9 May 2012). 52. Sverker Sörlin, and Paul Warde, eds., Nature's End:History and the Environment (Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009).

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.901
Threshold uncertainty score0.993

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0080.003
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.303
Teacher spread0.282 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it