Assessing the Breeding Success of the Western Grebe (<i>Aechmophorus occidentalis</i>) After 40 Years of Environmental Changes at Delta Marsh, Manitoba
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Since the 1970s, artificially stabilized water levels, increased presence of common carp (Cyprinus carpio) and invasion by a cattail hybrid (Typha × glauca) have changed the nesting environment for Western Grebes (Aechmophorus occidentalis) at Delta Marsh, Manitoba. To evaluate the impact of these changes, nest survival rates, causes of nest mortality, wind conditions, locations of nests and vegetation structure at nests in 2009–2010, and chick-adult ratios were compared to similar data for Western Grebes at Delta Marsh from 1973–1974. Apparent nest survival rates were lower in 2009–2010 than 1973–1974, and between low-water years (1973, 2010) and high-water years (1974, 2009). Lower apparent nest survival rates in 2009–2010 (49% in 2009 and 43% in 2010, compared to 46% in 1973 and 84% in 1974), and chick-adult ratios (0.55 in 1973 and 0.88 in 1974, compared to 0.55 in 2009 and 0.39 in 2010) were attributed to increases in destruction of nests primarily by wave action and secondarily by common carp, which were not observed destroying Western Grebe nests in 1973–1974. The replacement of native bulrushes by cattails in Western Grebe nesting habitat may have caused the observed increase in proximity to openwater edge, and this proximity may have increased destruction of nests by waves. Restoring stands of emergent bulrush by varying marsh water levels and reducing carp in the marsh might improve nest survival of Western Grebes.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".